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DOI10.5194/hess-22-6533-2018
Estimating radar precipitation in cold climates: The role of air temperature within a non-parametric framework
Sivasubramaniam K.; Sharma A.; Alfredsen K.
发表日期2018
ISSN1027-5606
起始页码6533
结束页码6546
卷号22期号:12
英文摘要The use of ground-based precipitation measurements in radar precipitation estimation is well known in radar hydrology. However, the approach of using gauged precipitation and near-surface air temperature observations to improve radar precipitation estimates in cold climates is much less common. In cold climates, precipitation is in the form of snow, rain or a mixture of the two phases. Air temperature is intrinsic to the phase of the precipitation and could therefore be a possible covariate in the models used to ascertain radar precipitation estimates. In the present study, we investigate the use of air temperature within a non-parametric predictive framework to improve radar precipitation estimation for cold climates. A non-parametric predictive model is constructed with radar precipitation rate and air temperature as predictor variables and gauge precipitation as an observed response using a k nearest neighbour (k-nn) regression estimator. The relative importance of the two predictors is ascertained using an information theory-based weighting. Four years (2011-2015) of hourly radar precipitation rates from the Norwegian national radar network over the Oslo region, hourly gauged precipitation from 68 gauges and gridded observational air temperatures were used to formulate the predictive model, hence making our investigation possible. Gauged precipitation data were corrected for wind-induced under-catch before using them as true observed response. The predictive model with air temperature as an added covariate reduces root-mean-square error (RMSE) by up to 15% compared to the model that uses radar precipitation rate as the sole predictor. More than 80% of gauge locations in the study area showed improvement with the new method. Further, the associated impact of air temperature became insignificant at more than 85% of gauge locations when the near-surface air temperature was warmer than 10°C, which indicates that the partial dependence of precipitation on air temperature is most useful for colder temperatures. © 2018 Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词Atmospheric temperature; Atmospheric thermodynamics; Gages; Information theory; Mean square error; Nearest neighbor search; Parameter estimation; Radar; Rain; Ground based precipitation; K nearest neighbours (k-NN); Near surface air temperature; Precipitation estimation; Precipitation rates; Predictor variables; Regression estimators; Root mean square errors; Radar measurement; air temperature; climate; covariance analysis; estimation method; gauge; ground-based measurement; precipitation (climatology); radar; rainfall; snow; Norway; Oslo [Norway]
来源期刊Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/159820
作者单位Sivasubramaniam, K., Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway; Sharma, A., School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; Alfredsen, K., Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7491, Norway
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Sivasubramaniam K.,Sharma A.,Alfredsen K.. Estimating radar precipitation in cold climates: The role of air temperature within a non-parametric framework[J],2018,22(12).
APA Sivasubramaniam K.,Sharma A.,&Alfredsen K..(2018).Estimating radar precipitation in cold climates: The role of air temperature within a non-parametric framework.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,22(12).
MLA Sivasubramaniam K.,et al."Estimating radar precipitation in cold climates: The role of air temperature within a non-parametric framework".Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22.12(2018).
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