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DOI10.1073/pnas.0907765106
Global sea level linked to global temperature
Vermeer M.; Rahmstorf S.
发表日期2009
ISSN0027-8424
起始页码21527
结束页码21532
卷号106期号:51
英文摘要We propose a simple relationship linking global sea-level variations on time scales of decades to centuries to global mean temperature. This relationship is tested on synthetic data from a global climate model for the past millennium and the next century. When applied to observed data of sea level and temperature for 1880-2000, and taking into account known anthropogenic hydrologic contributions to sea level, the correlation is >0.99, explaining 98% of the variance. For future global temperature scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report, the relationship projects a sea-level rise ranging from 75 to 190 cm for the period 1990-2100.
英文关键词Climate; Global warming; Ocean; Projections
语种英语
scopus关键词article; climate change; environmental temperature; greenhouse effect; hydrology; priority journal; sea level
来源期刊Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/159158
作者单位Vermeer, M., Department of Surveying, Helsinki University of Technology, P.O. Box 1200, FI-02150, Espoo, Finland; Rahmstorf, S., Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A62, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
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Vermeer M.,Rahmstorf S.. Global sea level linked to global temperature[J],2009,106(51).
APA Vermeer M.,&Rahmstorf S..(2009).Global sea level linked to global temperature.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,106(51).
MLA Vermeer M.,et al."Global sea level linked to global temperature".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106.51(2009).
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