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DOI | 10.1029/2018MS001438 |
Empirical Run-Time Bias Correction for Antarctic Regional Climate Projections With a Stretched-Grid AGCM | |
Krinner G.; Beaumet J.; Favier V.; Déqué M.; Brutel-Vuilmet C. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 19422466 |
起始页码 | 64 |
结束页码 | 82 |
卷号 | 11期号:1 |
英文摘要 | This work presents snapshot simulations of the late 20th and late 21st century Antarctic climate under the RCP8.5 scenario carried out with an empirically bias-corrected global atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), forced with bias-corrected sea-surface temperatures and sea ice and run with about 100-km resolution over Antarctica. The bias correction substantially improves the simulated mean late 20th century climate. The simulated atmospheric circulation of the bias-corrected model compares very favorably to the best available AMIP (Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project)-type climate models. The simulated interannual circulation variability is improved by the bias correction. Depending on the metric, a slight improvement or degradation is found in the simulated variability on synoptic timescales. The simulated climate change over the 21st century is broadly similar in the corrected and uncorrected versions of the atmospheric model, and atmospheric circulation patterns are not geographically “pinned” by the applied bias correction. These results suggest that the method presented here can be used for bias-corrected climate projections. Finally, the authors discuss different possible choices in terms of the place of bias corrections and other intermediate steps in the modeling chain leading from global coupled climate simulations to impact assessment. © 2018. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | bias correction; climate modeling; regional climate |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate change; Oceanography; Sea ice; Surface waters; Atmospheric circulation; Atmospheric circulation patterns; Atmospheric general circulation models; Atmospheric model intercomparison projects; Bias correction; Regional climate; Regional climate projections; Sea surface temperature (SST); Climate models; air-sea interaction; atmospheric circulation; atmospheric general circulation model; atmospheric modeling; climate modeling; correction; environmental impact assessment; general circulation model; global climate; regional climate; sea ice; sea surface temperature; simulation; Antarctica |
来源期刊 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156998 |
作者单位 | CNRS, Université Grenoble Alpes, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement (IGE), Grenoble, France; CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Krinner G.,Beaumet J.,Favier V.,et al. Empirical Run-Time Bias Correction for Antarctic Regional Climate Projections With a Stretched-Grid AGCM[J],2019,11(1). |
APA | Krinner G.,Beaumet J.,Favier V.,Déqué M.,&Brutel-Vuilmet C..(2019).Empirical Run-Time Bias Correction for Antarctic Regional Climate Projections With a Stretched-Grid AGCM.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,11(1). |
MLA | Krinner G.,et al."Empirical Run-Time Bias Correction for Antarctic Regional Climate Projections With a Stretched-Grid AGCM".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11.1(2019). |
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