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DOI | 10.1029/2018MS001566 |
Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium | |
Zhang X.; Peng S.; Ciais P.; Wang Y.-P.; Silver J.D.; Piao S.; Rayner P.J. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 19422466 |
起始页码 | 1715 |
结束页码 | 1734 |
卷号 | 11期号:6 |
英文摘要 | The terrestrial net biome production (NBP) is considered as one of the major drivers of interannual variation in atmospheric CO2 levels. However, the determinants of variability in NBP under the background climate (i.e., preindustrial conditions) remain poorly understood, especially on decadal-to-centennial timescales. We analyzed 1,000-year simulations spanning 850-1,849 from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and found that the variability in NBP and heterotrophic respiration (RH) were largely driven by fluctuations in the net primary production (NPP) and carbon turnover rates in response to climate variability. On interannual to multidecadal timescales, variability in NBP was dominated by variation in NPP, while variability in RH was driven by variation in turnover rates. However, on centennial timescales (100-1,000 years), the RH variability became more tightly coupled to that of NPP. The NBP variability on centennial timescales was low, due to the near cancellation of NPP and NPP-driven RH changes arising from climate internal variability and external forcings: preindustrial greenhouse gases, volcanic eruptions, land use changes, orbital change, and solar activity. Factorial experiments showed that globally on centennial timescales, the forcing of changes in greenhouse gas concentrations were the largest contributor (51%) to variations in both NPP and RH, followed by volcanic eruptions impacting NPP (25%) and RH (31%). Our analysis of the carbon-cycle suggests that geoengineering solutions by injection of stratospheric aerosols might be ineffective on longer timescales. ©2019. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | CESM; decadal-to-centennial timescale; earth system modeling; land carbon cycle; the last millennium; variability in NBP |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Carbon; Climate change; Climate models; Earth (planet); Greenhouse gases; Land use; Orbits; Solar energy; Carbon cycles; CESM; Earth system model; Last millenniums; Time-scales; variability in NBP; Volcanoes; aerosol; annual variation; carbon cycle; climate modeling; climate variation; concentration (composition); greenhouse ecosystem; greenhouse gas; net primary production; respiration; stratosphere; terrestrial environment; volcanic eruption |
来源期刊 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156896 |
作者单位 | Zhejiang Tiantong Forest Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Shanghai Key Lab for Urban Ecological Processes and Eco-Restoration, School of Ecological and Environmental Science, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China; Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France; Terrestrial Biogeochemistry Group, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China; CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, VIC, Australia; School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang X.,Peng S.,Ciais P.,et al. Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium[J],2019,11(6). |
APA | Zhang X..,Peng S..,Ciais P..,Wang Y.-P..,Silver J.D..,...&Rayner P.J..(2019).Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,11(6). |
MLA | Zhang X.,et al."Greenhouse Gas Concentration and Volcanic Eruptions Controlled the Variability of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake Over the Last Millennium".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11.6(2019). |
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