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DOI | 10.1029/2019MS001838 |
Climate Sensitivity of GFDL's CM4.0 | |
Winton M.; Adcroft A.; Dunne J.P.; Held I.M.; Shevliakova E.; Zhao M.; Guo H.; Hurlin W.; Krasting J.; Knutson T.; Paynter D.; Silvers L.G.; Zhang R. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 19422466 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | GFDL's new CM4.0 climate model has high transient and equilibrium climate sensitivities near the middle of the upper half of CMIP5 models. The CMIP5 models have been criticized for excessive sensitivity based on observations of present-day warming and heat uptake and estimates of radiative forcing. An ensemble of historical simulations with CM4.0 produces warming and heat uptake that are consistent with these observations under forcing that is at the middle of the assessed distribution. Energy budget-based methods for estimating sensitivities based on these quantities underestimate CM4.0's sensitivities when applied to its historical simulations. However, we argue using a simple attribution procedure that CM4.0's warming evolution indicates excessive transient sensitivity to greenhouse gases. This excessive sensitivity is offset prior to recent decades by excessive response to aerosol and land use changes. ©2020. The Authors. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Atmospheric radiation; Budget control; Greenhouse gases; Land use; Climate sensitivity; Energy budgets; Historical simulation; Land-use change; Radiative forcings; Climate models; aerosol; climate change; climate modeling; cloud radiative forcing; CMIP; land use change |
来源期刊 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156782 |
作者单位 | GFDL/NOAA, Princeton, NJ, United States; Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Cooperative Institute for Modeling the Earth System, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, State University of New York at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Winton M.,Adcroft A.,Dunne J.P.,et al. Climate Sensitivity of GFDL's CM4.0[J],2020,12(1). |
APA | Winton M..,Adcroft A..,Dunne J.P..,Held I.M..,Shevliakova E..,...&Zhang R..(2020).Climate Sensitivity of GFDL's CM4.0.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,12(1). |
MLA | Winton M.,et al."Climate Sensitivity of GFDL's CM4.0".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12.1(2020). |
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