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DOI | 10.1029/2019MS001995 |
Historical Simulations With HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6 | |
Andrews M.B.; Ridley J.K.; Wood R.A.; Andrews T.; Blockley E.W.; Booth B.; Burke E.; Dittus A.J.; Florek P.; Gray L.J.; Haddad S.; Hardiman S.C.; Hermanson L.; Hodson D.; Hogan E.; Jones G.S.; Knight J.R.; Kuhlbrodt T.; Misios S.; Mizielinski M.S.; Ringer M.A.; Robson J.; Sutton R.T. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 19422466 |
卷号 | 12期号:6 |
英文摘要 | We describe and evaluate historical simulations which use the third Hadley Centre Global Environment Model in the Global Coupled configuration 3.1 (HadGEM3-GC3.1) model and which form part of the UK's contribution to the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, CMIP6. These simulations, run at two resolutions, respond to historically evolving forcings such as greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar irradiance, volcanic aerosols, land use, and ozone concentrations. We assess the response of the simulations to these historical forcings and compare against the observational record. This includes the evolution of global mean surface temperature, ocean heat content, sea ice extent, ice sheet mass balance, permafrost extent, snow cover, North Atlantic sea surface temperature and circulation, and decadal precipitation. We find that the simulated time evolution of global mean surface temperature broadly follows the observed record but with important quantitative differences which we find are most likely attributable to strong effective radiative forcing from anthropogenic aerosols and a weak pattern of sea surface temperature response in the low to middle latitudes to volcanic eruptions. We also find evidence that anthropogenic aerosol forcings play a role in driving the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, which are key features of the North Atlantic ocean. Overall, the model historical simulations show many features in common with the observed record over the period 1850–2014 and so provide a basis for future in-depth study of recent climate change. ©2020. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | AOGCM; CMIP6; HadGEM3-GC3.1; historical simulations |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Aerosols; Atmospheric radiation; Atmospheric temperature; Climate change; Climate models; Greenhouse gases; Land use; Sea ice; Snow; Submarine geophysics; Surface properties; Surface waters; Volcanoes; Anthropogenic aerosols; Atlantic meridional overturning circulations; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Global mean surface temperature; Historical simulation; Multidecadal variability; North Atlantic Ocean; Sea surface temperature (SST); Oceanography; aerosol; Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation; climate forcing; climate modeling; CMIP; Hadley cell; historical record; meridional circulation; overturn; radiative forcing; sea surface temperature; simulation; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); United Kingdom |
来源期刊 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156705 |
作者单位 | Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; NCAS, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; NCAS, Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrews M.B.,Ridley J.K.,Wood R.A.,et al. Historical Simulations With HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6[J],2020,12(6). |
APA | Andrews M.B..,Ridley J.K..,Wood R.A..,Andrews T..,Blockley E.W..,...&Sutton R.T..(2020).Historical Simulations With HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,12(6). |
MLA | Andrews M.B.,et al."Historical Simulations With HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12.6(2020). |
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