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DOI10.1029/2019MS001978
Historical (1850–2014) Aerosol Evolution and Role on Climate Forcing Using the GISS ModelE2.1 Contribution to CMIP6
Bauer S.E.; Tsigaridis K.; Faluvegi G.; Kelley M.; Lo K.K.; Miller R.L.; Nazarenko L.; Schmidt G.A.; Wu J.
发表日期2020
ISSN19422466
卷号12期号:8
英文摘要The Earth's climate is rapidly changing. Over the past centuries, aerosols, via their ability to absorb or scatter solar radiation and alter clouds, played an important role in counterbalancing some of the greenhouse gas (GHG) caused global warming. The multicentury anthropogenic aerosol cooling effect prevented present-day climate from reaching even higher surface air temperatures and subsequent more dramatic climate impacts. Trends in aerosol concentrations and optical depth show that in many polluted regions such as Europe and the United States, aerosol precursor emissions decreased back to levels of the 1950s. More recent polluting countries such as China may have reached a turning point in recent years as well, while India still follows an upward trend. Here we study aerosol trends in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations of the GISS ModelE2.1 climate model using a fully coupled atmosphere composition configuration, including interactive gas-phase chemistry and either an aerosol microphysical (MATRIX) or a mass-based (One-Moment Aerosol, OMA) aerosol module. Results show that whether global aerosol radiative forcing is already declining depends on the aerosol scheme used. Using the aerosol microphysical scheme, where the aerosol system reacts more strongly to the trend in sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions, global peak direct aerosol forcing was reached in the 1980s, whereas the mass-based scheme simulates peak direct aerosol forcing around 2010. © 2020. The Authors.
英文关键词aerosol forcing; aerosol microphysics; CMIP6 historical simulation; GISS model
语种英语
scopus关键词Atmospheric chemistry; Atmospheric radiation; Climate models; Global warming; Greenhouse gases; Sulfur dioxide; Aerosol concentration; Anthropogenic aerosols; Atmosphere composition; Climate forcings; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Gas phase chemistry; Greenhouse gas (GHG); Surface air temperatures; Aerosols; aerosol; climate forcing; climate modeling; cloud microphysics; cloud radiative forcing; CMIP; optical depth; solar radiation; spatiotemporal analysis; China; Europe; India; United States
来源期刊Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156666
作者单位NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States; Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States; SciSpace LLC, New York, NY, United States; Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
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Bauer S.E.,Tsigaridis K.,Faluvegi G.,等. Historical (1850–2014) Aerosol Evolution and Role on Climate Forcing Using the GISS ModelE2.1 Contribution to CMIP6[J],2020,12(8).
APA Bauer S.E..,Tsigaridis K..,Faluvegi G..,Kelley M..,Lo K.K..,...&Wu J..(2020).Historical (1850–2014) Aerosol Evolution and Role on Climate Forcing Using the GISS ModelE2.1 Contribution to CMIP6.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,12(8).
MLA Bauer S.E.,et al."Historical (1850–2014) Aerosol Evolution and Role on Climate Forcing Using the GISS ModelE2.1 Contribution to CMIP6".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12.8(2020).
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