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DOI | 10.1029/2019MS002030 |
Global Carbon Cycle and Climate Feedbacks in the NASA GISS ModelE2.1 | |
Ito G.; Romanou A.; Kiang N.Y.; Faluvegi G.; Aleinov I.; Ruedy R.; Russell G.; Lerner P.; Kelley M.; Lo K. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 19422466 |
卷号 | 12期号:10 |
英文摘要 | We present results from the NASA GISS ModelE2.1-G-CC Earth System Model with coupled climate-carbon cycle simulations that were submitted to the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) Coupled Climate-Carbon Cycle MIP (C4MIP). Atmospheric CO2 concentration and carbon budgets for the land and ocean in the historical simulations were generally consistent with observations. Low simulated atmospheric CO2 concentrations during 1850–1950 were due to excess uptake from prescribed land cover change, which erroneously replaced arid shrublands with higher biomass crops, and assumed high 2004 LAI values in vegetated lands throughout the historical simulation. At the end of the historical period, slightly higher simulated CO2 than observed resulted from the land being an insufficient net carbon sink, despite the net effect of CO2 fertilization and warming-induced increases to leaf photosynthetic capacity. The global ocean carbon uptake agreed well with the observations with the largest discrepancies in the low latitudes. Future climate projection at 2091–2100 agreed with CMIP5 models in the northward shift, of temperate deciduous forest climate and expansion across Eurasia along 60°N latitude, and dramatic regional biome shifts from drying and warming in continental Europe. Carbon feedback parameters were largely similar to the CMIP5 model ensemble. For our model, the variation of land feedback parameters within the uncertainty arises from the fertilization feedback being less sensitive due to lack of increased vegetation growth, and the comparably more negative ocean carbon-climate feedback is due to the large slowdown of the Atlantic overturning circulation. © 2020. The Authors. |
英文关键词 | C4MIP; carbon cycle; CMIP6; Earth System Model; feedbacks; GISS ModelE2.1 |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Budget control; Carbon; Carbon dioxide; Earth (planet); Forestry; NASA; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Feedback parameters; Future climate projections; Global carbon cycle; Historical simulation; Overturning circulation; Photosynthetic capacity; Temperate deciduous forest; Climate models; atmospheric circulation; carbon cycle; carbon dioxide; climate modeling; CMIP; land-sea interaction; overturn; spatiotemporal analysis; Atlantic Ocean; Eurasia; Europe |
来源期刊 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/156625 |
作者单位 | NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States; SciSpace, LLC, New York, NY, United States; Centre de Recherches Pétrographiques et Géochimiques (CRPG), CNRS/Université de Lorraine, Vandoeuvre-lés-Nancy, France; Center for Climate Systems Research, Earth Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ito G.,Romanou A.,Kiang N.Y.,et al. Global Carbon Cycle and Climate Feedbacks in the NASA GISS ModelE2.1[J],2020,12(10). |
APA | Ito G..,Romanou A..,Kiang N.Y..,Faluvegi G..,Aleinov I..,...&Lo K..(2020).Global Carbon Cycle and Climate Feedbacks in the NASA GISS ModelE2.1.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,12(10). |
MLA | Ito G.,et al."Global Carbon Cycle and Climate Feedbacks in the NASA GISS ModelE2.1".Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12.10(2020). |
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