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DOI10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118352
Sustainability of Canada's forestry sector may be compromised by impending climate change
Brecka A.F.J.; Boulanger Y.; Searle E.B.; Taylor A.R.; Price D.T.; Zhu Y.; Shahi C.; Chen H.Y.H.
发表日期2020
ISSN0378-1127
卷号474
英文摘要Climate change poses a serious risk to long-term sustainable forest management, particularly when projecting future wood supply for forestry operations. However, few studies have accounted for the cumulative and interacting impacts of climate change on forest productivity and natural disturbances; even fewer have considered drought impacts when projecting wood supply. We modeled how disturbance- and drought-induced tree mortality will affect wood supply in three regions of Canada's boreal forest over a 200-year period under three climate-forcing scenarios. We project strong declines in overall aboveground biomass due to increases in mortality caused mainly by increased drought and wildfire, particularly in drier, western regions. Using two management strategies, we show that maintaining current long-term sustainable harvesting levels will be extremely challenging depending on the level of anthropogenic climate forcing. Increased wildfire activity under severe climate forcing will strongly decrease the availability of harvestable stands. In western areas that are already water-limited, harvesting levels will need to be low to remain sustainable. Our results show that Canada's future wood supply and sustainable forest management practices are highly vulnerable to changes in climate; hence adaptation actions are needed to lower these vulnerabilities. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词Drought-induced mortality; Forest disturbances; Forest management; Harvest intensity; LANDIS-II; Species compositions; Sustainable operations
语种英语
scopus关键词Drought; Fires; Forestry; Timber; Above ground biomass; Anthropogenic climate; Forest productivity; Forestry operations; Management strategies; Natural disturbance; Sustainable forest management; Sustainable harvesting; Climate change; aboveground biomass; agrometeorology; boreal forest; climate forcing; drought stress; forest management; forestry production; mortality; nature-society relations; sustainable forestry; timber harvesting; Drought; Fires; Forestry; Harvesting; Mortality; Supply; Sustainable Forest Management; Wood; Canada
来源期刊Forest Ecology and Management
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/155083
作者单位Faculty of Natural Resources Management, Lakehead University, Thunder Bay, ON, Canada; Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre, Québec, QC, Canada; Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Atlantic Forestry Centre, Fredericton, NB, Canada; Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, Edmonton, AB, Canada; Key Laboratory for Humid Subtropical Eco-geographical Processes of the Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fujian, 350117, China
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Brecka A.F.J.,Boulanger Y.,Searle E.B.,et al. Sustainability of Canada's forestry sector may be compromised by impending climate change[J],2020,474.
APA Brecka A.F.J..,Boulanger Y..,Searle E.B..,Taylor A.R..,Price D.T..,...&Chen H.Y.H..(2020).Sustainability of Canada's forestry sector may be compromised by impending climate change.Forest Ecology and Management,474.
MLA Brecka A.F.J.,et al."Sustainability of Canada's forestry sector may be compromised by impending climate change".Forest Ecology and Management 474(2020).
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