气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future forest composition under a changing climate and adaptive forest management in southeastern Vermont, USA

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118527
	Future forest composition under a changing climate and adaptive forest management in southeastern Vermont, USA
	Nevins M.T.; D'Amato A.W.; Foster J.R.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0378-1127
卷号	479
英文摘要	Global change represents the greatest challenge facing forest managers today. The uncertainty and variability of potential future impacts of shifting climatic and disturbance regimes has led resource managers to seek out alternative approaches to sustain the long-term delivery of forest ecosystem services. We use a spatially explicit forest landscape simulation model, LANDIS-II, to examine and evaluate a range of long-term effects of current and adaptive forest management under three projected climate scenarios within a forested landscape in southeastern Vermont, USA. We found that land-use legacies and the inertia associated with long-term forest successional trajectories are likely to be the dominant driver of future forest composition and biomass conditions for the next 100 years. Nevertheless, climate is projected to have a greater influence on species composition and aboveground biomass over the next 200 years. Eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis) and red spruce (Picea rubens) are likely to experience reductions in aboveground biomass and a compression of relative dominance on the landscape. American beech (Fagus grandifolia) and sugar maple (Acer saccharum) are projected to persist within the landscape and are likely to continue to occupy a prominent compositional position in the forests of this region. Extreme climate warming under RCP 8.5 projections resulted in compositional shifts and reductions in landscape-scale aboveground biomass (120.09 ± 4.51 Mg·ha-1) at the end of the 200 year simulation when compared to RCP 4.5 (150.55 ± 1.04 Mg·ha-1) and current climate projections (147.90 ± 0.79 Mg·ha-1). These findings highlight the expected lag effects of a changing climate, which present significant challenges and opportunities as managers seek to sustain critical ecosystem services in the region. © 2020 Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词	Aboveground biomass; Climate change adaptation; Forest composition; Forest management; LANDIS-II; Northeast USA
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Biomass; Climate change; Climate models; Ecosystems; Land use; Managers; Above ground biomass; Disturbance regime; Ecosystem services; Forest compositions; Forest landscape simulation models; Forested landscapes; Species composition; Uncertainty and variability; Forestry; aboveground biomass; adaptive management; climate change; climate effect; deciduous forest; dominance; forested catchment; landscape change; succession; Biomass; Ecosystems; Forest Management; Forestry; Land Use; Services; Simulation; Vermont; United States; Vermont; Acer saccharum; Fagus grandifolia; Picea rubens; Tsuga canadensis
来源期刊	Forest Ecology and Management
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154878
作者单位	Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, Aiken Center, 81 Carrigan Drive, Burlington, VT 05405, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nevins M.T.,D'Amato A.W.,Foster J.R.. Future forest composition under a changing climate and adaptive forest management in southeastern Vermont, USA[J],2021,479.
APA	Nevins M.T.,D'Amato A.W.,&Foster J.R..(2021).Future forest composition under a changing climate and adaptive forest management in southeastern Vermont, USA.Forest Ecology and Management,479.
MLA	Nevins M.T.,et al."Future forest composition under a changing climate and adaptive forest management in southeastern Vermont, USA".Forest Ecology and Management 479(2021).