气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118705
	An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation
	MacKenzie W.H.; Mahony C.R.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0378-1127
卷号	481
英文摘要	Accounting for climate change in reforestation practices has the potential to be one of the most efficacious adaptation strategies for maintaining future forest ecosystem services. There is a rich literature projecting spatial shifts in climatic suitability for tree species and strong scientific evidence for the necessity of assisted migration. However, there has been limited translation of this research into operational reforestation, due in part to mismatches to the information needs of practitioners. Here, we describe a practitioner-focused climate change informed tree species selection (CCISS) model to support reforestation decisions in British Columbia (BC). CCISS projects the climate change redistribution of bioclimate units from the multi-scaled Biogeoclimatic Ecosystem Classification (BEC) system with machine-learning for 90 modelled futures. It leverages the reforestation knowledge from BEC to make site-specific species projections of reforestation feasibility with climate change uncertainty metrics. We present 21st-century feasibility projections for a comprehensive set of tree species native to western North America. Some general trends are evident: augmentation of the number of feasible species in sub-boreal regions due to the rapid expansion of feasibility for temperate species; attrition at low elevations in southern BC due to declines in the feasibility of native species with little compensation by non-native species; and turnover at mid-elevations as declining feasibility for subalpine species is compensated by uphill expansion of climatic feasibility for submontane species. Edaphic (soil) factors are important; feasibility declines are higher on relatively dry sites than on wetter sites for most species. Our analysis emphasizes that changes in feasibility are species-specific, spatially variable, and influenced by edaphic site factors. By employing the multi-scaled BEC system that currently informs operational reforestation, CCISS facilitates translation of research into actionable guidance for practitioners. © 2020
英文关键词	Assisted migration; Bioclimate envelope modelling; Biogeoclimatic ecosystem classification; Climate change adaptation; Random forests; Translational ecology
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Ecosystems; Expansion; Reforestation; Adaptation strategies; Ecological approaches; Ecosystem classification; Non-native species; Reforestation decision; Scientific evidence; Sub-boreal regions; Tree species selections; Climate change; adaptive management; bioclimatology; climate change; ecological approach; ecosystem service; feasibility study; forest ecosystem; native species; project assessment; reforestation; twenty first century; uncertainty analysis; Ecosystems; Expansion; Feasibility; Reforestation; Research; Selection; Translation; Trees; British Columbia; Canada
来源期刊	Forest Ecology and Management
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154799
作者单位	BC Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural Resource Operations and Rural Development, 3333 Tatlow Road, Smithers, BC V0J 2N0, Canada; BC Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural Resource Operations and Rural Development, P.O. Box 9513 Stn. Prov. Govt., Victoria, BC V8W 9C2, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	MacKenzie W.H.,Mahony C.R.. An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation[J],2021,481.
APA	MacKenzie W.H.,&Mahony C.R..(2021).An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation.Forest Ecology and Management,481.
MLA	MacKenzie W.H.,et al."An ecological approach to climate change-informed tree species selection for reforestation".Forest Ecology and Management 481(2021).