气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Land speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazil

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab003a
	Land speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazil
	Miranda J.; Börner J.; Kalkuhl M.; Soares-Filho B.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	17489318
卷号	14 期号:4
英文摘要	The Brazilian Amazon and Cerrado biomes have been subject to strong pressure from agricultural expansion over the past two decades. A common claim is that the associated tree cover loss was partly driven by speculative land acquisition. In this paper, we analyze the effects of information on planned road infrastructure improvements and changes in conservation policy implementation on expectations of forest conversion. We use a unique land price dataset covering the period from 2001-2012. Based on land rent and hedonic valuation theory, we argue that forestland prices convey information on expected future land use. We decompose forestland prices into a conventional forestland rent and a speculative part related to forestland conversion and alternative land use rents. Using a fixed-effect panel, we then assess whether, where, and to what extent changes in conservation policy affect forestland prices over time. Our results confirm that forestland prices contain expectations about converting forestland to agricultural or pasture land. We also find indications that the Brazilian land market conveys information about potential conservation policy leakage and explore this conjecture descriptively using dynamic deforestation hotspot maps. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	conservation policy; land price; leakage; speculation
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Deforestation; Highway planning; Land use; Leakage (fluid); Agricultural expansion; Brazilian Amazon; Conservation policy; Forest conversion; Land acquisition; Land prices; Road infrastructures; speculation; Costs; biome; cerrado; conservation status; deforestation; environmental policy; forest ecosystem; policy implementation; road; tree; Amazonia; Brazil
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154642
作者单位	Center for Development Research, University of Bonn, Genscherallee 3, Bonn, D-53113, Germany; Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, Nussallee 21, Bonn, D-53115, Germany; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Torgauer Str. 12-15, Berlin, D-10829, Germany; Faculty of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Postdam, August-Bebel-Straße 89, Postdam, D-14482, Germany; Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Antônio Carlos 6627, Belo Horizonte, MG, 31270-901, Brazil
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Miranda J.,Börner J.,Kalkuhl M.,et al. Land speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazil[J],2019,14(4).
APA	Miranda J.,Börner J.,Kalkuhl M.,&Soares-Filho B..(2019).Land speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazil.Environmental Research Letters,14(4).
MLA	Miranda J.,et al."Land speculation and conservation policy leakage in Brazil".Environmental Research Letters 14.4(2019).