气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: Insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab281e
	Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: Insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects
	Ciscar J.-C.; Rising J.; Kopp R.E.; Feyen L.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	17489318
卷号	14 期号:8
英文摘要	Climate change will impact many economic sectors and aspects of natural and human wellbeing. Quantifying these impacts as they vary across regions, sectors, time, and social and climatological scenarios supports detailed planning, policy, and risk management. This article summarises and compares recent climate impact assessments in Europe (the JRC PESETA III project) and the USA (the American Climate Prospectus project). Both implement a multi-sector perspective combining high resolution climate data with sectoral impact and economic models. The assessments differ in their coverage of sectors and scenarios, mix of empirical and process-based methods, handling of uncertainty, and representation of damages. Despite the dissimilarities, projected relative economic impacts are comparable, with human mortality as the dominant impact category. Both studies further show a large spatial heterogeneity of impacts that may amplify pre-existing economic inequality in the EU and US, and that mitigation can considerably reduce economic impacts. The comparison highlights the various decision-points involved in interdisciplinary climate impact modelling and lessons learnt in both projects, on the basis of which we provide recommendations for further research. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	American climate prospectus project; climate impacts, damages; empirical models; integrated assessment modeling; JRC PESETA project; process models
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Damage detection; Economic and social effects; Risk management; Risk perception; American climate prospectus project; Climate impacts; Empirical model; Integrated assessment models; JRC PESETA project; Process model; Climate change; climate change; climate effect; climate modeling; economic impact; environmental economics; environmental impact assessment; environmental modeling; European Union; mortality; project assessment; Europe; United States
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154475
作者单位	Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Spain; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom; Institute of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, New Brunswicka, NJ, United States; Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ciscar J.-C.,Rising J.,Kopp R.E.,et al. Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: Insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects[J],2019,14(8).
APA	Ciscar J.-C.,Rising J.,Kopp R.E.,&Feyen L..(2019).Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: Insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects.Environmental Research Letters,14(8).
MLA	Ciscar J.-C.,et al."Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: Insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects".Environmental Research Letters 14.8(2019).