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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab4222
The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers
Turnock S.T.; Smith S.; O'Connor F.M.
发表日期2019
ISSN17489318
卷号14期号:10
英文摘要Here we quantify the regional co-benefits to future air quality on annual to daily mean timescales from implementing mitigation measures to stabilise future climate. Two consistent future emissions pathways are used within the composition-climate model HadGEM3-UKCA: one is a reference pathway of future economic growth and development (REF), whilst the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) assumes the same development pathway but stabilises anthropogenic radiative forcing at 4.5 W m-2 in 2100. Implementing greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation measures in RCP4.5 reduces global mean air pollutant emissions by up to 30% in the 2050s, in addition to mitigating climate. Annual mean surface concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 decrease by 10%-20% from the combined reductions in emissions and climate change. The number of days exceeding the World Health Organization's (WHO) daily mean air quality standards are reduced by up 47 days for ozone and 15 days for PM2.5 over different world regions. The air quality co-benefits from mitigation measures are mainly achieved from reductions in anthropogenic emissions, although benefits can be offset due to changes in climate. In terms of anthropogenic climate forcing, while the reduction in global mean effective radiative forcing (ERF) in 2050, relative to the 2000s, due to enacting carbon dioxide mitigation measures (-0.43 W m-2) is enhanced by decreases in tropospheric ozone (-0.26 W m-2) and methane (-0.2 W m-2), it is partially offset by a positive aerosol ERF from reductions in aerosols (+0.35 W m-2). This study demonstrates that policies to mitigate climate change have added co-benefits for global and regional air quality on annual to daily timescales. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the GHG policies in reducing anthropogenic climate forcing is enhanced in the near-term by reductions in ozone and methane despite the increased forcing due to reductions in aerosols. © 2019 Crown copyright. Reproduced with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty's Stationery Office.
英文关键词aerosols; air pollutants; air quality; climate; co-benefits; mitigation
语种英语
scopus关键词Aerosols; Air quality; Air quality standards; Atmospheric radiation; Carbon dioxide; Climate models; Economics; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Methane; Ozone; Air pollutant emission; Anthropogenic climate; Anthropogenic emissions; Carbon dioxide mitigation; Greenhouse gas (GHG); Regional air quality; Surface concentration; World Health Organization; Climate change; air quality; carbon dioxide; climate change; climate effect; climate forcing; climate modeling; economic growth; emission control; future prospect; mitigation; radiative forcing; timescale
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154355
作者单位Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD 20740, United States
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GB/T 7714
Turnock S.T.,Smith S.,O'Connor F.M.. The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers[J],2019,14(10).
APA Turnock S.T.,Smith S.,&O'Connor F.M..(2019).The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers.Environmental Research Letters,14(10).
MLA Turnock S.T.,et al."The impact of climate mitigation measures on near term climate forcers".Environmental Research Letters 14.10(2019).
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