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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256 |
Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change | |
Shiogama H.; Hasegawa T.; Fujimori S.; Murakami D.; Takahashi K.; Tanaka K.; Emori S.; Kubota I.; Abe M.; Imada Y.; Watanabe M.; Mitchell D.; Schaller N.; Sillmann J.; Fischer E.M.; Scinocca J.F.; Bethke I.; Lierhammer L.; Takakura J.; Trautmann T.; Döll P.; Ostberg S.; Müller Schmied H.; Saeed F.; Schleussner C.-F. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 14期号:12 |
英文摘要 | Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world's population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 °C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, compared to 2 °C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | climate change; climate model; inequality; Paris agreement |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate change; Global warming; Hazards; CO2 emissions; Hazard indicators; Heat stress; Heavy rainfall; inequality; Labor capacity; Low incomes; Climate models; climate change; climate modeling; global warming; hazard assessment; streamflow |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154306 |
作者单位 | National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Ibaraki Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan; College of Science and Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, 1-1-1 Noji-higashi, Kusatsu, Shiga, 525-8577, Japan; Department of Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, 615-8540, Japan; Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo, 190-8562, Japan; Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 3173-25 Showa-machi, Kanagawa Kanazawa, Yokohama, 236-0001, Japan; Meteorological Research Institute, 1-1 Nagamine, Ibaraki Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan; Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Chiba Kashiwa, 277-8564, Japan; University of Bristol, G.10Bn University Road, Clifton, Bristol, BS8 1SS, United Kingdom; Center for International Climate Research - Oslo, Gaustadalléen 21, Oslo, NO-0349, Norway; ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Universitatstrasse 16, Zürich, 8092, Switzerland; C... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shiogama H.,Hasegawa T.,Fujimori S.,et al. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change[J],2019,14(12). |
APA | Shiogama H..,Hasegawa T..,Fujimori S..,Murakami D..,Takahashi K..,...&Schleussner C.-F..(2019).Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change.Environmental Research Letters,14(12). |
MLA | Shiogama H.,et al."Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change".Environmental Research Letters 14.12(2019). |
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