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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab5256
Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change
Shiogama H.; Hasegawa T.; Fujimori S.; Murakami D.; Takahashi K.; Tanaka K.; Emori S.; Kubota I.; Abe M.; Imada Y.; Watanabe M.; Mitchell D.; Schaller N.; Sillmann J.; Fischer E.M.; Scinocca J.F.; Bethke I.; Lierhammer L.; Takakura J.; Trautmann T.; Döll P.; Ostberg S.; Müller Schmied H.; Saeed F.; Schleussner C.-F.
发表日期2019
ISSN17489318
卷号14期号:12
英文摘要Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world's population is projected to experience a present day 1-in-10 year hot day event every other year at 2 °C warming. The regions with relatively large increases of these four hazard indicators coincide with countries characterized by small CO2 emissions, low-income and high vulnerability. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, compared to 2 °C, is projected to lower increases in the four hazard indicators especially in those regions. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词climate change; climate model; inequality; Paris agreement
语种英语
scopus关键词Climate change; Global warming; Hazards; CO2 emissions; Hazard indicators; Heat stress; Heavy rainfall; inequality; Labor capacity; Low incomes; Climate models; climate change; climate modeling; global warming; hazard assessment; streamflow
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154306
作者单位National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Ibaraki Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan; College of Science and Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, 1-1-1 Noji-higashi, Kusatsu, Shiga, 525-8577, Japan; Department of Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, 615-8540, Japan; Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo, 190-8562, Japan; Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, 3173-25 Showa-machi, Kanagawa Kanazawa, Yokohama, 236-0001, Japan; Meteorological Research Institute, 1-1 Nagamine, Ibaraki Tsukuba, 305-0052, Japan; Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Chiba Kashiwa, 277-8564, Japan; University of Bristol, G.10Bn University Road, Clifton, Bristol, BS8 1SS, United Kingdom; Center for International Climate Research - Oslo, Gaustadalléen 21, Oslo, NO-0349, Norway; ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Universitatstrasse 16, Zürich, 8092, Switzerland; C...
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Shiogama H.,Hasegawa T.,Fujimori S.,et al. Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change[J],2019,14(12).
APA Shiogama H..,Hasegawa T..,Fujimori S..,Murakami D..,Takahashi K..,...&Schleussner C.-F..(2019).Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change.Environmental Research Letters,14(12).
MLA Shiogama H.,et al."Limiting global warming to 1.5 °c will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change".Environmental Research Letters 14.12(2019).
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