气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: Analyses from CORDEX-Africa climate experiments

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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab500a
	Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: Analyses from CORDEX-Africa climate experiments
	Bichet A.; Hingray B.; Evin G.; Diedhiou A.; Kebe C.M.F.; Anquetin S.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	17489318
卷号	14 期号:12
英文摘要	The development of renewable electricity in Africa could be massive in coming decades, as a response to the rapid rising electricity demand while complying with the Paris Agreements. This study shows that in the high-resolution climate experiments of CORDEX-Africa, the annual mean solar potential is expected to decrease on average by 4% over most of the continent by the end of the century, reaching up to 6% over the Horn of Africa, as a direct result of decrease in solar radiation and increase in air surface temperature. These projections are associated with large uncertainties, in particular over the Sahel and the elevated terrains of eastern Africa. While the expected decrease may affect the sizing of the numerous solar projects planned in Africa for the next decades, this study suggests that it does not endanger their viability. At last, this study indicates that the design of such projects also needs to account for the non-negligible uncertainties associated with the resource. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	Bayesiananovamethod; Climate change; Model projections; Solar potential; Solar radiation change; Solar resource assessment
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Solar power generation; Solar radiation; Bayesiananovamethod; Electricity demands; Photovoltaic energy; Radiation change; Renewable electricity; Solar potential; Solar resource assessments; Surface temperatures; Climate change; air temperature; Bayesian analysis; climate change; electricity; photovoltaic system; solar power; solar radiation; Horn of Africa; Sahel [Sub-Saharan Africa]
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154285
作者单位	University Grenoble Alpes, Ige Umr 5001, Grenoble, F-38000, France; University Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR ETNA, Grenoble, France; African Centre of Excellence on Climate Change, Biodiversity and Sustainable Agriculture (ACE CCBAD), University Félix Houphouët Boigny, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, France; Centre for Incubation and Development of Innovative Companies (Innodev), University Cheikh Anta Diop, Dakar, Sénégal, Senegal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bichet A.,Hingray B.,Evin G.,et al. Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: Analyses from CORDEX-Africa climate experiments[J],2019,14(12).
APA	Bichet A.,Hingray B.,Evin G.,Diedhiou A.,Kebe C.M.F.,&Anquetin S..(2019).Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: Analyses from CORDEX-Africa climate experiments.Environmental Research Letters,14(12).
MLA	Bichet A.,et al."Potential impact of climate change on solar resource in Africa for photovoltaic energy: Analyses from CORDEX-Africa climate experiments".Environmental Research Letters 14.12(2019).