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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5ada |
Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment | |
Zhang B.; Zhang R.; Pinker R.T.; Feng Y.; Nie C.; Guan Y. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 14期号:12 |
英文摘要 | While there is considerable agreement in the scientific community about the intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs) in a warming world, that consensus does not exist for TC frequency. In order to shed new light on this uncertainty, we classified the global oceans into three pools based on SST percentiles: The (a) warm (≥90th percentiles), (a) moderate (65th-90th percentiles) and (c) cool (<65th percentiles) pools, and found that TC frequency increases significantly over the cool SST pool but decreases in the warm and moderate SST pools. The differences in TC frequency change is large among the three pools, contrasting to the small trend differences of TC intensity. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | Global warming; Sensitivity; Sst percentile; Tc frequency; Tropical cyclone activity |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Global warming; Hurricanes; Lakes; Storms; Tropics; Frequency changes; Global ocean; Scientific community; Sea surface temperature (SST); Sensitivity; Sst percentile; Tropical cyclone; Tropical cyclone activity; Oceanography; global warming; sea surface temperature; sensitivity analysis; tropical cyclone |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154268 |
作者单位 | Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Regional Numerical Weather Prediction, Cma, Guangzhou, 510641, China; College of Atmospheric Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, United States; Shantou Meteorological Service, Shantou, 515000, China; South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang B.,Zhang R.,Pinker R.T.,et al. Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment[J],2019,14(12). |
APA | Zhang B.,Zhang R.,Pinker R.T.,Feng Y.,Nie C.,&Guan Y..(2019).Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment.Environmental Research Letters,14(12). |
MLA | Zhang B.,et al."Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment".Environmental Research Letters 14.12(2019). |
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