气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change impact on energy demand in building-urban-atmosphere simulations through the 21st century

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab5aa5
	Climate change impact on energy demand in building-urban-atmosphere simulations through the 21st century
	Lipson M.J.; Thatcher M.; Hart M.A.; Pitman A.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	17489318
卷号	14 期号:12
英文摘要	Social, technological and climatic changes will transform the way energy is consumed over the 21st century, with important implications for energy networks and greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we develop a method to efficiently explore climate-energy interactions under various scenarios of climate, urban infrastructure and technological change. We couple the Urban Climate and Energy Model with the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model as a full-height single column driven with a series of global climate model simulations in an ensemble approach. The framework is evaluated against observations, then a series of century-scale simulations are undertaken to examine projected climate change impacts on electricity and gas demand in the temperate/oceanic climate of Melbourne, Australia. With air-conditioning ownership remaining at early 21st century levels, and in the absence of other changes, climate change under radiative forcing RCP 8.5 increases peak electricity demand by 10%, and decreases peak gas demand by 22% between 2000 and 2100. However, if projected increases in air-conditioning ownership are considered, peak electricity demand increases by 84%, surpassing peak gas demand in the second half of the century. These findings highlight the complex nature of changes facing energy networks. Changes will be location and scenario dependent. © 2019 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	Building energy; Climate change; Electricity and gas; Global climate model; Peak demand; Urban climate
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Air conditioning; Atmospheric radiation; Climate models; Electric power utilization; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Building energy; Electricity and gas; Global climate model; Peak demand; Urban climates; Climate change; climate change; climate modeling; electricity generation; electricity supply; global climate; greenhouse gas; ownership; radiative forcing; urban climate; Australia; Melbourne; Victoria [Australia]
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154247
作者单位	Arc Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Unsw, Sydney, Australia; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; Csiro Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Australia; Arc Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Unsw, Sydney, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lipson M.J.,Thatcher M.,Hart M.A.,et al. Climate change impact on energy demand in building-urban-atmosphere simulations through the 21st century[J],2019,14(12).
APA	Lipson M.J.,Thatcher M.,Hart M.A.,&Pitman A..(2019).Climate change impact on energy demand in building-urban-atmosphere simulations through the 21st century.Environmental Research Letters,14(12).
MLA	Lipson M.J.,et al."Climate change impact on energy demand in building-urban-atmosphere simulations through the 21st century".Environmental Research Letters 14.12(2019).