气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Surprisingly malleable public preferences for climate adaptation in forests

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab7464
	Surprisingly malleable public preferences for climate adaptation in forests
	Findlater K.M.; St-Laurent G.P.; Hagerman S.; Kozak R.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:3
英文摘要	Researchers and policy-makers often assume that public preferences for climate change adaptation are positive and stable compared to those of mitigation. However, public judgments about adaptation in natural resource sectors (like forestry) require that people make difficult, value-laden and uncertain trade-offs across complex social-ecological systems. The deliberative methods (e.g. focus groups and in-depth interviews) that are typically used to explore the malleability of these judgments may underestimate the level of preference malleability in broader publics by encouraging participants to rationalize their choices in relation to their own knowledge, values and beliefs, as well as those of others. Here, we use a public survey (N = 1926) from British Columbia, Canada - where forestry is economically, environmentally and culturally vital - to investigate the malleability of public preferences for genomics-based assisted migration (AM) for climate change adaptation in forests. Following an initial judgment, respondents are given new information about AM's potential implementation and impacts - simple messages similar to those that they might encounter through traditional and social media. The results show that respondents' initial judgments are surprisingly malleable, and prone to large bi-directional shifts across all message types. The magnitude of this malleability is related to the degree of the proposed intervention, the type of message, and individuals' demographic and psychographic characteristics. These results suggest that high levels of initial public support may be illusory, and that more attention should be paid to the potential for malleability, controversy and contradiction as adaptation policies are developed and implemented. Process-based arguments related to transparent, evidence-based and adaptive governance may be more influential than risk-based arguments related to climate change and economic impacts. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	British Columbia; climate change adaptation; constructed preferences; forestry; public survey; risk perceptions
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Economic and social effects; Forestry; Risk perception; Surveys; Timber; Adaptive governance; British Columbia; British Columbia , Canada; Climate change adaptation; constructed preferences; In-depth interviews; Public surveys; Social-ecological systems; Climate change; adaptive management; climate change; forest ecosystem; forestry; natural resource; questionnaire survey; risk perception; British Columbia; Canada
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154176
作者单位	Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Findlater K.M.,St-Laurent G.P.,Hagerman S.,et al. Surprisingly malleable public preferences for climate adaptation in forests[J],2020,15(3).
APA	Findlater K.M.,St-Laurent G.P.,Hagerman S.,&Kozak R..(2020).Surprisingly malleable public preferences for climate adaptation in forests.Environmental Research Letters,15(3).
MLA	Findlater K.M.,et al."Surprisingly malleable public preferences for climate adaptation in forests".Environmental Research Letters 15.3(2020).