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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b
Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Graham N.T.; Hejazi M.I.; Chen M.; Davies E.G.R.; Edmonds J.A.; Kim S.H.; Turner S.W.D.; Li X.; Vernon C.R.; Calvin K.; Miralles-Wilhelm F.; Clarke L.; Kyle P.; Link R.; Patel P.; Snyder A.C.; Wise M.A.
发表日期2020
ISSN17489318
卷号15期号:1
英文摘要Future changes in climate and socioeconomic systems will drive both the availability and use of water resources, leading to evolutions in scarcity. The contributions of both systems can be quantified individually to understand the impacts around the world, but also combined to explore how the coevolution of energy-water-land systems affects not only the driver behind water scarcity changes, but how human and climate systems interact in tandem to alter water scarcity. Here we investigate the relative contributions of climate and socioeconomic systems on water scarcity under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways-Representative Concentration Pathways framework. While human systems dominate changes in water scarcity independent of socioeconomic or climate future, the sign of these changes depend particularly on the socioeconomic scenario. Under specific socioeconomic futures, human-driven water scarcity reductions occur in up to 44% of the global land area by the end of the century. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词GCAM; human-climate interactions; shared socioeconomic pathways; water scarcity
语种英语
scopus关键词Water resources; Climate system; Co-evolution; GCAM; Human system; Relative contribution; shared socioeconomic pathways; Socio-economic systems; Water scarcity; Climate change; climate effect; future prospect; nature-society relations; socioeconomic conditions; water availability; water resource; water storage; water use
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154129
作者单位Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States; Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Alberta, Canada; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States; Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, United States
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Graham N.T.,Hejazi M.I.,Chen M.,et al. Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways[J],2020,15(1).
APA Graham N.T..,Hejazi M.I..,Chen M..,Davies E.G.R..,Edmonds J.A..,...&Wise M.A..(2020).Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.Environmental Research Letters,15(1).
MLA Graham N.T.,et al."Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways".Environmental Research Letters 15.1(2020).
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