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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b |
Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways | |
Graham N.T.; Hejazi M.I.; Chen M.; Davies E.G.R.; Edmonds J.A.; Kim S.H.; Turner S.W.D.; Li X.; Vernon C.R.; Calvin K.; Miralles-Wilhelm F.; Clarke L.; Kyle P.; Link R.; Patel P.; Snyder A.C.; Wise M.A. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 15期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Future changes in climate and socioeconomic systems will drive both the availability and use of water resources, leading to evolutions in scarcity. The contributions of both systems can be quantified individually to understand the impacts around the world, but also combined to explore how the coevolution of energy-water-land systems affects not only the driver behind water scarcity changes, but how human and climate systems interact in tandem to alter water scarcity. Here we investigate the relative contributions of climate and socioeconomic systems on water scarcity under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways-Representative Concentration Pathways framework. While human systems dominate changes in water scarcity independent of socioeconomic or climate future, the sign of these changes depend particularly on the socioeconomic scenario. Under specific socioeconomic futures, human-driven water scarcity reductions occur in up to 44% of the global land area by the end of the century. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | GCAM; human-climate interactions; shared socioeconomic pathways; water scarcity |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Water resources; Climate system; Co-evolution; GCAM; Human system; Relative contribution; shared socioeconomic pathways; Socio-economic systems; Water scarcity; Climate change; climate effect; future prospect; nature-society relations; socioeconomic conditions; water availability; water resource; water storage; water use |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154129 |
作者单位 | Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States; Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Alberta, Canada; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States; Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Graham N.T.,Hejazi M.I.,Chen M.,et al. Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways[J],2020,15(1). |
APA | Graham N.T..,Hejazi M.I..,Chen M..,Davies E.G.R..,Edmonds J.A..,...&Wise M.A..(2020).Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.Environmental Research Letters,15(1). |
MLA | Graham N.T.,et al."Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways".Environmental Research Letters 15.1(2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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