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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab5aab
Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions
Watson L.; Straatsma M.W.; Wanders N.; Verstegen J.A.; De Jong S.M.; Karssenberg D.
发表日期2020
ISSN17489318
卷号15期号:2
英文摘要Ecosystem service assessments facilitate the valuation of nature and support decision-making. Ecosystem services are connected to climate; however, ecosystem service values affected by climate change remain unclear. We mapped global ecosystem service values totaling ∼1.3 trillion international dollars for 2005. Transitions in Köppen-Geiger climate classes projected with General Circulation Models under the four IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) were modeled providing 20 climate scenarios. The mapped global ecosystem service values were combined with the 20 climate scenarios in order to identify where and how much of the global ecosystem service value is within a climate class transition. By 2050, 252-375 billion international dollars of ecosystem service value (20%-30% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition for both RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios. In RCP 2.6, the 2015 Paris Agreement carbon emission scenario target, Köppen-Geiger climate transitions stabilize after 2050. However, in the RCP 8.5 scenario, ecosystem service values amounting to 467-632 billion international dollars (37%-50% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition by 2085. These results provide an inclusive global overview of climate change impact on evaluated ecosystem services that affect populations and economies. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词climate change; ecosystem services assessment; global study; Köppen-Geiger climate class; spatial valuation
语种英语
scopus关键词Climate models; Decision making; Ecosystems; Carbon emissions; Climate change impact; Climate scenarios; Climate transition; Ecosystem service values; Ecosystem services; General circulation model; global study; Climate change; carbon emission; climate change; decision making; ecosystem service; environmental assessment; environmental values; general circulation model; global change; global perspective; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; spatial analysis
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154120
作者单位University of Stavanger, Department of Petroleum Engineering, Energy Resources, Stavanger, NO-4036, Norway; Utrecht University, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht, 3508 TC, Netherlands; University of Münster, Institute for Geoinformatics, Heisenbergstrasse 2, Muenster, D-48149, Germany
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Watson L.,Straatsma M.W.,Wanders N.,et al. Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions[J],2020,15(2).
APA Watson L.,Straatsma M.W.,Wanders N.,Verstegen J.A.,De Jong S.M.,&Karssenberg D..(2020).Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions.Environmental Research Letters,15(2).
MLA Watson L.,et al."Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions".Environmental Research Letters 15.2(2020).
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