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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5aab |
Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions | |
Watson L.; Straatsma M.W.; Wanders N.; Verstegen J.A.; De Jong S.M.; Karssenberg D. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 17489318 |
卷号 | 15期号:2 |
英文摘要 | Ecosystem service assessments facilitate the valuation of nature and support decision-making. Ecosystem services are connected to climate; however, ecosystem service values affected by climate change remain unclear. We mapped global ecosystem service values totaling ∼1.3 trillion international dollars for 2005. Transitions in Köppen-Geiger climate classes projected with General Circulation Models under the four IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) were modeled providing 20 climate scenarios. The mapped global ecosystem service values were combined with the 20 climate scenarios in order to identify where and how much of the global ecosystem service value is within a climate class transition. By 2050, 252-375 billion international dollars of ecosystem service value (20%-30% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition for both RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios. In RCP 2.6, the 2015 Paris Agreement carbon emission scenario target, Köppen-Geiger climate transitions stabilize after 2050. However, in the RCP 8.5 scenario, ecosystem service values amounting to 467-632 billion international dollars (37%-50% of total value) are in a Köppen-Geiger climate transition by 2085. These results provide an inclusive global overview of climate change impact on evaluated ecosystem services that affect populations and economies. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
英文关键词 | climate change; ecosystem services assessment; global study; Köppen-Geiger climate class; spatial valuation |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate models; Decision making; Ecosystems; Carbon emissions; Climate change impact; Climate scenarios; Climate transition; Ecosystem service values; Ecosystem services; General circulation model; global study; Climate change; carbon emission; climate change; decision making; ecosystem service; environmental assessment; environmental values; general circulation model; global change; global perspective; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; spatial analysis |
来源期刊 | Environmental Research Letters
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/154120 |
作者单位 | University of Stavanger, Department of Petroleum Engineering, Energy Resources, Stavanger, NO-4036, Norway; Utrecht University, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht, 3508 TC, Netherlands; University of Münster, Institute for Geoinformatics, Heisenbergstrasse 2, Muenster, D-48149, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Watson L.,Straatsma M.W.,Wanders N.,et al. Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions[J],2020,15(2). |
APA | Watson L.,Straatsma M.W.,Wanders N.,Verstegen J.A.,De Jong S.M.,&Karssenberg D..(2020).Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions.Environmental Research Letters,15(2). |
MLA | Watson L.,et al."Global ecosystem service values in climate class transitions".Environmental Research Letters 15.2(2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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