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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab7ace
Finding common ground: Agreement on increasing wildfire risk crosses political lines
Hartter J.; Hamilton L.C.; Ducey M.J.; Boag A.E.; Salerno J.D.; Christoffersen N.D.; Oester P.T.; Palace M.W.; Stevens F.R.
发表日期2020
ISSN17489318
卷号15期号:6
英文摘要Wildfire is a growing threat in the western US, driven by high fuel loads, a warming climate, and rising human activity in the wildland urban interface. Diverse stakeholders must collaborate to mitigate risk and adapt to changing conditions. Communication strategies in collaborative efforts may be most effective if they align with local perspectives on wildfire and climate change. We investigate drivers of residents' subjective perceptions regarding both issues in eastern Oregon using 2018 survey data, and examine objective evidence regarding local fuel loads, climate, and wildfire to identify trends and contextualize residents' perceptions. We find that sociopolitical identity strongly predicts climate change beliefs, and that identity and climate beliefs predict both perceptions of recent past climate and likely future trends. Political influences on climate perceptions are strongest among people whose friends mostly belong to the same party. In contrast, perceptions about future wildfire risks are largely independent of climate-change beliefs, and of individual or peer-group politics. Most people accurately perceive the rising frequency of large wildfires, and expect this trend to continue. Decision makers have an opportunity to engage diverse stakeholders in developing policies to mitigate increasing wildfire risk without invoking climate change, which remains politically polarizing in some communities. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词climate change; dry forests; forest management; northeast Oregon; wildfire
语种英语
scopus关键词Fires; Risk perception; Communication strategy; Human activities; Local perspective; Political influences; Residents' perceptions; Subjective perceptions; Warming climate; Wildland urban interface; Climate change; climate change; human activity; perception; risk assessment; stakeholder; warming; wildfire; Oregon; United States
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153984
作者单位Environmental Studies Program, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States; Department of Sociology, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States; Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States; Colorado Department of Natural Resources, Denver, CO, United States; Warner College of Natural Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; Wallowa Resources, Enterprise, OR, United States; College of Forestry, Oregon State University, LaGrande, OR, United States; Institute for the Study of Earth Oceans and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States; Department of Geosciences, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
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Hartter J.,Hamilton L.C.,Ducey M.J.,et al. Finding common ground: Agreement on increasing wildfire risk crosses political lines[J],2020,15(6).
APA Hartter J..,Hamilton L.C..,Ducey M.J..,Boag A.E..,Salerno J.D..,...&Stevens F.R..(2020).Finding common ground: Agreement on increasing wildfire risk crosses political lines.Environmental Research Letters,15(6).
MLA Hartter J.,et al."Finding common ground: Agreement on increasing wildfire risk crosses political lines".Environmental Research Letters 15.6(2020).
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