气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Integrating collapse theories to understand socio-ecological systems resilience

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ab7b9c
	Integrating collapse theories to understand socio-ecological systems resilience
	Rubinos C.; Anderies J.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:7
英文摘要	The world is facing new environmental challenges that may trigger the collapse of some social-ecological systems (SES). More extreme weather events may be much more common in the decades to come due to climate change. Although we have an idea of what climatic events to expect in each region, we know less about how SES can cope with these challenges. We study The Peruvian Piura Basin, which has been exposed to harsh environmental events associated with the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) for centuries. The Piura basin was home to the ancient Moche civilization, which collapsed due to a combination of factors, but strong El Nino events likely played a significant role. To analyze the resilience of The Piura Basin to flood events, we used as guidance the Robustness Framework and different propositions from prominent collapse theories to carry out a longitudinal study based on both primary and collected secondary data. We found that the Piura basin is very fragile based on almost all of the predictions of collapse theories (especially with respect to selfish elites, centralized governance, systems interconnection, anticipation capacity and sensitive dependence on resources), but the biggest strength is its growing stock of social capital. In small steps, user associations have been collectively working towards solutions for water conservation and public-infrastructure maintenance. There is a long way to go, but with the right policies to encourage the strengthening of these associations, the Piura basin could become more resilient to future El Nino events. This study also provides methodological and theoretical insights that can contribute to theory building for the resilience of SES. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词	El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO); environmental change; resilience; robustness; societal collapse; socio-ecological systems
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Atmospheric pressure; Ecology; Floods; Water conservation; El Nino southern oscillation; Environmental challenges; Extreme weather events; Longitudinal study; Public infrastructures; Social-ecological systems; Socio-ecological systems; User associations; Climate change; centralization; civilization; climate change; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; environmental factor; extreme event; governance approach; maintenance; nature-society relations; Peru; Piura [Peru]
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153918
作者单位	Universidad Del Pacífico, Av. Salaverry 2020, Jesús María, Lima, Peru; Center for Behavior, Institutions, and the Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States; School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, 800 Cady Mall, Tempe, AZ 85281, United States; School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rubinos C.,Anderies J.M.. Integrating collapse theories to understand socio-ecological systems resilience[J],2020,15(7).
APA	Rubinos C.,&Anderies J.M..(2020).Integrating collapse theories to understand socio-ecological systems resilience.Environmental Research Letters,15(7).
MLA	Rubinos C.,et al."Integrating collapse theories to understand socio-ecological systems resilience".Environmental Research Letters 15.7(2020).