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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab86f5
Compounding impact of deforestation on Borneo's climate during El Nie&ntild;o events
Chapman S.; Syktus J.; Trancoso R.; Salazar A.; Thatcher M.; Watson J.E.M.; Meijaard E.; Sheil D.; Dargusch P.; Mcalpine C.A.
发表日期2020
ISSN17489318
卷号15期号:8
英文摘要Both deforestation and El Nieo events influence Borneo's climate, but their interaction is not well understood. Borneo's native forest cover decreased by 37.1% between 1980 and 2015 with large areas being replaced by oil palm and a mosaic of plantations and regrowth vegetation. The island is also affected by El Nieo events, resulting in severe droughts and fires. Here, we used a high-resolution climate model to simulate and evaluate how deforestation and El Nieo episodes interact during the 1980-2016 period. Simulations revealed that deforestation resulted in a warmer and drier climate with the most pronounced changes in the extensively deforested regions of eastern and southern Borneo. Deforestation-linked impacts were more pronounced under El Nieo than neutral (non El Nieo/La Niea) conditions. Changes in climate mainly corresponded with areas with the most deforestation. There was a significant increase in the frequency of hotter and drier climatic extremes, with the probability distribution of temperature, humidity and aridity shifting from narrow to a broadening distribution. For example, the frequency of 90th percentile of the hot temperatures (defined as average monthly temperatures >28.9 °C) during the dry season increased from 10% for neutral conditions for the 1980 forest cover to 22% for neutral conditions for the 2015 forest cover. For strong El Nieo events, the frequency increased from 15.6% to 32.5%. Replacement of intact native forest with oil palm resulted in increased frequency of hot temperatures to 49% for neutral and 74% for El Nieo conditions. Hotter and drier conditions are likely to increase tree mortality and forest flammability (and fire-driven deforestation). The continued reduction and fragmentation of Borneo's forests diminishes the ability to moderate regional climate impacted by larger scale and other regional/local human climate forcings. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd.
英文关键词biophysical feedbacks; drought; fire risk; land cover change; oil palm; temperature extremes
语种英语
scopus关键词Climate change; Deforestation; Driers (materials); Drought; Palm oil; Probability distributions; Climate forcings; Distribution of temperature; Forest flammabilities; High resolution climate model; Native forests; Neutral conditions; Regional climate; Tree mortality; Climate models; anthropogenic effect; climate change; climate effect; climate forcing; climate modeling; deforestation; El Nino; forest cover; fragmentation; high temperature; Borneo; Elaeis
来源期刊Environmental Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153914
作者单位University of Queensland, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia; School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; University of Queensland, School of Biological Sciences, St Lucia, 4072, Australia; Departamento de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de La Serena, Casilla La Serena, 554, Chile; Instituto de Ecología y Biodiversidad (IEB), Chile; CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, VIC 3195, Australia; Global Conservation Program, Wildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, NY 10460, United States; Borneo Futures, Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei Darussalam; Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, University of Queensland, St Lucia, 4072, Australia; Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management (MINA), Norwegian University of Life Sciences (NMBU), As, Norway
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Chapman S.,Syktus J.,Trancoso R.,et al. Compounding impact of deforestation on Borneo's climate during El Nie&ntild;o events[J],2020,15(8).
APA Chapman S..,Syktus J..,Trancoso R..,Salazar A..,Thatcher M..,...&Mcalpine C.A..(2020).Compounding impact of deforestation on Borneo's climate during El Nie&ntild;o events.Environmental Research Letters,15(8).
MLA Chapman S.,et al."Compounding impact of deforestation on Borneo's climate during El Nie&ntild;o events".Environmental Research Letters 15.8(2020).
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