气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe

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DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/abb268
	The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe
	Tabari H.; Madani K.; Willems P.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	17489318
卷号	15 期号:10
英文摘要	Anthropogenic influences can modulate the low-frequency variability of extreme precipitation and increase the likelihood of flooding events. It is not, however, clear how much and in what manner the low-frequency variability has changed in recent decades as global warming has intensified. Here, we investigate the contribution of anthropogenic influences to the time evolution of extreme precipitation anomalies in different seasons using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and CMIP5 model simulations and observations over Europe. Our results show a latitudinal dependence of changes in extreme precipitation anomalies for all seasons due to anthropogenic impacts. While the contribution of anthropogenic influences to extreme precipitation anomalies at low latitudes (<50◦) is less than 8% in all seasons, it goes up to 26% and 41% at mid (50◦–60◦) and high (>60◦) latitudes. Without the offsetting effect of anthropogenic aerosols, anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases alone should have produced larger anomalies than observed. For all seasons, the more extreme the precipitation, the larger the anthropogenic influences. © 2020 The Author(s).
英文关键词	Anthropocene; Anthropogenic contribution; Climate change; Extreme precipitation anomaly; Latitudinal pattern
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Global warming; Greenhouse effect; Greenhouse gases; Anthropogenic aerosols; Anthropogenic emissions; Anthropogenic impacts; Anthropogenic influence; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Extreme precipitation; Low frequency variability; Model simulation; Precipitation (meteorology); anthropogenic effect; CMIP; flooding; global warming; greenhouse gas; precipitation (climatology); Europe
来源期刊	Environmental Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/153614
作者单位	Department of Civil Engineering, KU Leuven, Belgium; Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, Brussels, 1050, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tabari H.,Madani K.,Willems P.. The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe[J],2020,15(10).
APA	Tabari H.,Madani K.,&Willems P..(2020).The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe.Environmental Research Letters,15(10).
MLA	Tabari H.,et al."The contribution of anthropogenic influence to more anomalous extreme precipitation in Europe".Environmental Research Letters 15.10(2020).