气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Lagrangian simulation of oil trajectories in the Florida Straits

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DOI	10.1016/j.marpolbul.2019.01.031
	Lagrangian simulation of oil trajectories in the Florida Straits
	Drouin K.L.; Mariano A.J.; Ryan E.H.; Laurindo L.C.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0025326X
起始页码	204
结束页码	218
卷号	140
英文摘要	A Lagrangian floating oil trajectory model is developed to simulate a continuous surface spill in the Florida Straits. The trajectories are initiated at locations representative of exploratory drilling sites around Cuba's Exclusive Economic Zone and integrated for ten days. The simulation is initialized for different seasons, using leeway-corrected observed winds, ocean currents, different climatologies, and a first-order Markov Lagrangian Stochastic Model. A Monte-Carlo scheme is used to parameterize oil weathering processes collectively. Overall, the simulations exhibit a strong seasonal dependence, where the Florida coast is most affected during the summer and the Cuban coast in the winter. Drilling sites at the center of the Straits show the largest impact on Florida. Cuba is most affected by shoreline locations. A significant amount of oil reaches the Florida coastline within two to ten days, and Cuba is potentially affected within hours. Many simulations project impacts for the Florida Keys, South Florida, and the north shore of Cuba. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Cuban offshore drilling; Florida Straits oil spill; Lagrangian trajectories; Monte-Carlo weathering scheme; Oil spill modeling
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Infill drilling; Lagrange multipliers; Monte Carlo methods; Ocean currents; Offshore drilling; Offshore oil well production; Oil spills; Stochastic models; Stochastic systems; Trajectories; Weathering; Exclusive economic zones; Exploratory drilling; Florida; Lagrangian simulation; Lagrangian stochastic modeling; Lagrangian trajectories; Monte carlo schemes; Oil-spill model; Offshore oil wells; oil; drilling; Lagrangian analysis; modeling; Monte Carlo analysis; offshore application; oil spill; Article; climate; coastal waters; Cuba; Florida; Monte Carlo method; ocean current; offshore oil industry; oil spill; seasonal variation; stochastic model; validation study; analysis; computer simulation; environmental monitoring; oil and gas field; procedures; season; theoretical model; water flow; water pollution; wind; Cuba; Florida Keys; Florida [United States]; Straits of Florida; United States; Computer Simulation; Cuba; Environmental Monitoring; Florida; Models, Theoretical; Oil and Gas Fields; Petroleum Pollution; Seasons; Water Movements; Water Pollution; Wind
来源期刊	Marine Pollution Bulletin
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/150100
作者单位	Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Drouin K.L.,Mariano A.J.,Ryan E.H.,et al. Lagrangian simulation of oil trajectories in the Florida Straits[J],2019,140.
APA	Drouin K.L.,Mariano A.J.,Ryan E.H.,&Laurindo L.C..(2019).Lagrangian simulation of oil trajectories in the Florida Straits.Marine Pollution Bulletin,140.
MLA	Drouin K.L.,et al."Lagrangian simulation of oil trajectories in the Florida Straits".Marine Pollution Bulletin 140(2019).