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DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2014.027 |
Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin | |
Velasco M.; Cabello À.; Escaler I.; Barredo J.I.; Barrera-Escoda A. | |
发表日期 | 2014 |
ISSN | 20402244 |
起始页码 | 204 |
结束页码 | 215 |
卷号 | 5期号:2 |
英文摘要 | Global change, including climate, land-use and socio-economic changes, is expected to increase the stress on the entire water cycle. In the Mediterranean region, extreme events are likely to increase due to climate change. This work, framed in the EC Seventh Framework Programme project IMPRINTS, presents a methodology to obtain future flood risk maps using climate and land-use scenarios, identifying the new potential risk zones. The implementation of this methodology is applied to the Llobregat river basin case study. Two different special report on emission scenarios are used, and although the uncertainties are high, the results obtained are coincident: an increase of flood risk is observed in the whole Low Llobregat area. The climate changes affect the basin globally, increasing the risk homogeneously within the area considered. On the other hand, land-use changes represent urban growth in the floodplains, and hence, local risk increases are found in these spots. © IWA Publishing 2014. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Flood risk; IMPRINTS; Land-use; Llobregat |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Floods; Land use; Maps; Risk assessment; Emission scenario; Flood risks; IMPRINTS; Land-use scenario; Llobregat; Llobregat river; Mediterranean region; Socio-economic change; Climate change; climate change; climate conditions; flash flood; flooding; floodplain; land use change; risk assessment; Catalonia; Llobregat Basin; Spain |
来源期刊 | Journal of Water and Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148280 |
作者单位 | CETaqua Water Technology Centre, Carretera d'Esplugues 75, 08940, Cornellà, Barcelona, Spain; EC - JRC, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra, Italy; SMC, Catalan Meteorological Service, Berlín 38-48 4a, 08029 Barcelona, Spain; Aqualogy Conocimiento, Diagonal 211, 08018 Barcelona, Spain |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Velasco M.,Cabello À.,Escaler I.,et al. Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin[J],2014,5(2). |
APA | Velasco M.,Cabello À.,Escaler I.,Barredo J.I.,&Barrera-Escoda A..(2014).Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin.Journal of Water and Climate Change,5(2). |
MLA | Velasco M.,et al."Methodology for risk assessment of flash flood events due to climate and land-use changes: Application to the Llobregat basin".Journal of Water and Climate Change 5.2(2014). |
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