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DOI10.2166/wcc.2014.114
Assessment of climate change impacts on irrigation water requirement and rice yield for Ngamoeyeik irrigation project in Myanmar
Shrestha S.; Thin N.M.M.; Deb P.
发表日期2014
ISSN20402244
起始页码427
结束页码442
卷号5期号:3
英文摘要This study analyzes the impacts of climate change on irrigation water requirement (IWR) and yield for rainfed rice and irrigated paddy, respectively, at Ngamoeyeik Irrigation Project in Myanmar. Climate projections from two General Circulation Models, namely ECHAM5 and HadCM3 were derived for the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s. The climate variables were downscaled to basin level by using the Statistical DownScaling Model. The AquaCrop model was used to simulate the yield and IWR under future climate. The analysis shows a decreasing trend in maximum temperature for three scenarios and three time windows considered; however, an increasing trend is observed for minimum temperature for all cases. The analysis on precipitation also suggests that rainfall in wet season is expected to vary largely from -29 to +21.9% relative to the baseline period. A higher variation is observed for the rainfall in dry season ranging from -42% for 2080s, and +96% in the case of 2020s. A decreasing trend of IWR is observed for irrigated paddy under the three scenarios indicating that small irrigation schemes are suitable to meet the requirements. An increasing trend in the yield of rainfed paddy was estimated under climate change demonstrating increased food security in the region. © IWA Publishing 2014.
英文关键词Climate change; Crop modeling; Irrigation water requirements; Myanmar; Rainfed paddy yield
语种英语
scopus关键词Climate change impact; Crop model; Irrigation projects; Irrigation water requirements; Myanmars; Paddy yields; Rice yield; Climate change; climate change; climate effect; climate modeling; crop yield; general circulation model; irrigation; paddy field; rainfed agriculture; water budget; Myanmar
来源期刊Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148263
作者单位Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, P. O. Box 4 Klong Luang, Pathumthani, 12120, Thailand
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Shrestha S.,Thin N.M.M.,Deb P.. Assessment of climate change impacts on irrigation water requirement and rice yield for Ngamoeyeik irrigation project in Myanmar[J],2014,5(3).
APA Shrestha S.,Thin N.M.M.,&Deb P..(2014).Assessment of climate change impacts on irrigation water requirement and rice yield for Ngamoeyeik irrigation project in Myanmar.Journal of Water and Climate Change,5(3).
MLA Shrestha S.,et al."Assessment of climate change impacts on irrigation water requirement and rice yield for Ngamoeyeik irrigation project in Myanmar".Journal of Water and Climate Change 5.3(2014).
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