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| DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2014.143 |
| Climate change and its impact on tea in northeast India | |
| Dutta R. | |
| 发表日期 | 2014 |
| ISSN | 20402244 |
| 起始页码 | 625 |
| 结束页码 | 632 |
| 卷号 | 5期号:4 |
| 英文摘要 | The analysis of this study focused on the tea growing areas of Northeast India to provide predictions for future climate scenarios and its impact on tea production by 2050. The applied methodology involves a combination of current climate data with future climate change predictions from different models for 2050 as derived by WorldClim and IPCC4 (CIAT recommended). The results showed the possibility of an increase in average temperature by 2W C in 2050, while not much variation is observed in the rainfall pattern. A change in tea production period is also expected by 2050 making tea planters look for alternative crops as an adaptive measure to keep the industry on its feet. With such expected impacts on tea production, the planters would need to make changes in their management practices to adapt to the evolving conditions and environment. In this study, the climate data were used as input to DIVA GIS Model. Monthly climate data were fed into Cranfield University Plantation Productivity Analysis for Tea Model (CUPPA Tea Model) to simulate observed and predicted yields. The study further shows that the overall climate will become less seasonal in terms of variation through the years followed by expected variations in monthly precipitation during the peak production months. © IWA Publishing 2014. |
| 英文关键词 | Climate change; CUPPA Tea Model; DIVA GIS; Predictions; Scenarios; Tea |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | Climate models; Forecasting; Precipitation (meteorology); Adaptive measures; Cranfield University; Future climate scenarios; Management practices; Plantation productivity; Predicted yield; Rainfall patterns; Scenarios; Climate change |
| 来源期刊 | Journal of Water and Climate Change
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148252 |
| 作者单位 | Asian Disaster Preparedness Center, 979/69 Paholyothin Road, Samsen Nai, Phayathai, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dutta R.. Climate change and its impact on tea in northeast India[J],2014,5(4). |
| APA | Dutta R..(2014).Climate change and its impact on tea in northeast India.Journal of Water and Climate Change,5(4). |
| MLA | Dutta R.."Climate change and its impact on tea in northeast India".Journal of Water and Climate Change 5.4(2014). |
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