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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2014.076
	Assessment of climate change impacts in a semi-arid watershed in Iran using regional climate models
	Solaymani H.R.; Gosain A.K.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	161
结束页码	180
卷号	6 期号:1
英文摘要	This paper aims to summarize in detail the results of the climate models under various scenarios by temporal and spatial analysis in the semi-arid Karkheh Basin (KB) in Iran, which is likely to experience water shortages. The PRECIS and REMO models, under A2, B2 and A1B scenarios, have been chosen as regional climate models (RCMs). These regional climate models indicate an overall warming in future in KB under various scenarios. The increase in temperature in the dry months (June, July and August) is greater than the increase in the wet months (January, February, March and April). In order to perform climate change impact assessment on water resources, the Arc-SWAT 9.3 model was used in the study area. SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model results have been obtained using present and future climate data. There is an overall reduction in the water yield (WYLD) over the whole of the KB. The deficit of WYLD is considerable over the months of April to September throughout KB due to the increase in average temperature and decrease in precipitation under various emission scenarios. Statistical properties in box-and-whisker plots have been used to gain further understanding relevant to uncertainty analysis in climate change impacts. Evaluation of uncertainty has shown the highest uncertain condition under B2. © IWA Publishing 2015.
英文关键词	Climate change; Impact assessment; RCMs; SWAT; Uncertainty analysis
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Uncertainty analysis; Water resources; Climate change impact; Climate change impact assessments; Impact assessments; RCMs; Regional climate models; Soil and Water assessment tools; Statistical properties; SWAT; Climate change; assessment method; climate change; climate effect; climate modeling; regional climate; spatiotemporal analysis; uncertainty analysis; water resource; water yield; Iran; Karkheh Basin; Khuzestan
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148235
作者单位	Department of Civil Engineering, IIT Delhi, India
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Solaymani H.R.,Gosain A.K.. Assessment of climate change impacts in a semi-arid watershed in Iran using regional climate models[J],2015,6(1).
APA	Solaymani H.R.,&Gosain A.K..(2015).Assessment of climate change impacts in a semi-arid watershed in Iran using regional climate models.Journal of Water and Climate Change,6(1).
MLA	Solaymani H.R.,et al."Assessment of climate change impacts in a semi-arid watershed in Iran using regional climate models".Journal of Water and Climate Change 6.1(2015).