气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Modeling the impacts of climate change and future land use variation on microbial transport

CCPortal

DOI	10.2166/wcc.2015.049
	Modeling the impacts of climate change and future land use variation on microbial transport
	Coffey R.; Benham B.; Kline K.; Wolfe M.L.; Cummins E.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	449
结束页码	471
卷号	6 期号:3
英文摘要	The impact of waterborne micro-organisms (potentially pathogenic) on public health may be exacerbated by the combined effects of climate and land use change. We used watershed modeling to assess the potential effects of climate change and future land management scenarios on microbial water quality in the Pigg River watershed, located in southwest Virginia, USA. The hydrologic simulation program in Fortran, climate forecasts from the Consortium for Atlantic Regional Assessment, future projections for land management, and current watershed data were used to simulate a range of potential future scenarios for the period 2040-2069. Results indicate that changes in climate will have the most significant impact on microbial fate and transport, with increased loading driven by trends in seasonal and annual precipitation. High flow and low flow periods represent periods of greatest uncertainty. As climate factors are to an extent uncontrollable, adaptation measures targeting land based source loads will be required to maintain water quality within existing regulatory standards. In addition, new initiatives may need to be identified and incorporated into water policy. This is likely to have repercussions for all watershed inhabitants and stakeholders, but will assist in sustaining water quality standards and protecting human health. © IWA Publishing 2015.
英文关键词	Climate change; Land management; Microbial transport; Watershed modeling
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Land use; Water management; Water quality; Watersheds; Consortium for atlantic regional assessments; Hydrologic simulations; Land managements; Microbial fate and transports; Microbial transport; Microbial water quality; Water quality standard; Watershed modeling; Climate change; climate change; environmental impact; hydrological response; land management; land use change; microorganism; stakeholder; transport process; water quality; watershed; Pigg River; United States; Virginia
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148219
作者单位	UCD School of Biosystems Engineering, Agriculture and Food Science Center, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland; Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Virginia Tech, Seitz hall, Blacksburg, VA 24061, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Coffey R.,Benham B.,Kline K.,et al. Modeling the impacts of climate change and future land use variation on microbial transport[J],2015,6(3).
APA	Coffey R.,Benham B.,Kline K.,Wolfe M.L.,&Cummins E..(2015).Modeling the impacts of climate change and future land use variation on microbial transport.Journal of Water and Climate Change,6(3).
MLA	Coffey R.,et al."Modeling the impacts of climate change and future land use variation on microbial transport".Journal of Water and Climate Change 6.3(2015).