气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A comparative estimate of climate change impacts on cotton and Maize in Greece

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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2018.022
	A comparative estimate of climate change impacts on cotton and Maize in Greece
	Voloudakis D.; Karamanos A.; Economou G.; Kapsomenakis J.; Zerefos C.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	643
结束页码	656
卷号	9 期号:4
英文摘要	The impact of climate change on cotton and maize was estimated on the basis of three IPCC Emission Scenarios (A1B, A2, B2) for seven main agronomic areas during three periods, 1961–1990, 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. All climate models were assessed for their ability to identify the yield differences through the standardized discriminant function coefficients. Discriminant analysis was performed for each period. For cotton, using the A1B scenario, areas of Western Greece exhibited the most favourable results in terms of yield increase, compared to other regions, ranging up to the maximum value of þ24%. This tendency became more pronounced towards the end of the century reaching an increase of þ31%. In the A2 scenario, all the areas had a positive impact on their yield change rising up to 30% in areas of central Greece. A positive change for all regions was observed for scenario B2 ranging from þ10% to þ25%. In maize, the scenario A1B produced small changes in yields, not exceeding 5%. For A2 scenario, yield change varied from 5.7% to þ3.6%. Scenario B2 gave more optimistic estimates of yield changes towards the end of the century, in some cases exceeding 5%. © IWA Publishing 2018.
英文关键词	AquaCrop; Climate change; Cotton; Discriminant function analysis; Greece; Maize
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate models; Cotton; Discriminant analysis; AquaCrop; Climate change impact; Discriminant function analysis; Discriminant function coefficients; Greece; Maize; Optimistic estimates; Yield differences; Climate change; climate change; climate effect; climate modeling; comparative study; cotton; discriminant analysis; maize; yield response; Greece; Gossypium hirsutum; Zea mays
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148014
作者单位	Agricultural University of Athens (AUA), 75 Iera Odos str, Athens, 11855, Greece; Research Centre of Atmospherics, Physics and Climatology, Academy of Athens, 84 Solonos str, Athens, 10680, Greece; Navarino Environmental Observatory (NEO), Navarino Dunes, Costa Navarino, Messinia24001, Greece
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Voloudakis D.,Karamanos A.,Economou G.,et al. A comparative estimate of climate change impacts on cotton and Maize in Greece[J],2018,9(4).
APA	Voloudakis D.,Karamanos A.,Economou G.,Kapsomenakis J.,&Zerefos C..(2018).A comparative estimate of climate change impacts on cotton and Maize in Greece.Journal of Water and Climate Change,9(4).
MLA	Voloudakis D.,et al."A comparative estimate of climate change impacts on cotton and Maize in Greece".Journal of Water and Climate Change 9.4(2018).