气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Agricultural groundwater management strategies and seasonal climate forecasting: Perceptions from Mogwadi (Dendron); Limpopo; South Africa

CCPortal

DOI	10.2166/wcc.2018.042
	Agricultural groundwater management strategies and seasonal climate forecasting: Perceptions from Mogwadi (Dendron); Limpopo; South Africa
	Fallon A.L.; Villholth K.G.; Conway D.; Lankford B.A.; Ebrahim G.Y.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	142
结束页码	157
卷号	10 期号:1
英文摘要	This paper explores the agricultural groundwater management system of Mogwadi (Dendron), Limpopo, South Africa - an area associated with intensive use of hard rock aquifers for irrigation - and the potential contribution of seasonal forecasts. These relatively shallow aquifers are often perceived as ‘selfregulating’, yet climate variability and infrequent recharge episodes raise the question ofwhether seasonal forecasting could contribute to more sustainable groundwater use. Hydro-meteorological observations, interviews and repeat focus groups with commercial farmers were used to examine this question for the 2014-15 rainfall season, with follow-up interviews during the 2015-16 El Niño season. Two long-term borehole series showed effects of episodic recharge events and management interventions. Comparison of formal and informalmanagement practices highlighted important contrasts: a perceived lack of formal coordination within governing bodies, contrary to high levels of informal coordination between farmers despite a persistent ‘tragedy of the commons’ problem. Seasonal forecast use was limited due to lack of awareness and understanding of their relevance, low credibility and trust of forecasts, and poor dissemination. Farmers expressed increased interest in such information after the 2015-16 drought, if tailored to their needs. Increased uptake is, however, contingent on complementary groundwater monitoring network improvements and enhanced cooperation between stakeholder groups. © 2019 The Authors.
英文关键词	Agriculture; Climate variability; Commercial farmers; Groundwater management; Seasonal forecast; South Africa
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Aquifers; Climatology; Dendrimers; Forecasting; Groundwater resources; Hydrogeology; Water management; Climate variability; Commercial farmers; Groundwater management; Seasonal forecasts; South Africa; Agriculture; agriculture; aquifer; climate change; climate prediction; farmers attitude; groundwater; perception; seasonal variation; water management; Limpopo; South Africa
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/148012
作者单位	Water and Development Research Group, Department of the Built Environment, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland; International Water Management Institute, Cresswell Road, Pretoria, South Africa; Grantham Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, United Kingdom; School of International Development, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fallon A.L.,Villholth K.G.,Conway D.,et al. Agricultural groundwater management strategies and seasonal climate forecasting: Perceptions from Mogwadi (Dendron); Limpopo; South Africa[J],2019,10(1).
APA	Fallon A.L.,Villholth K.G.,Conway D.,Lankford B.A.,&Ebrahim G.Y..(2019).Agricultural groundwater management strategies and seasonal climate forecasting: Perceptions from Mogwadi (Dendron); Limpopo; South Africa.Journal of Water and Climate Change,10(1).
MLA	Fallon A.L.,et al."Agricultural groundwater management strategies and seasonal climate forecasting: Perceptions from Mogwadi (Dendron); Limpopo; South Africa".Journal of Water and Climate Change 10.1(2019).