气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): How to incorporate climate change into modelling environmental water outcomes: A review

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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2020.263
	How to incorporate climate change into modelling environmental water outcomes: A review
	John A.; Nathan R.; Horne A.; Stewardson M.; Angus Webb J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	20402244
起始页码	327
结束页码	340
卷号	11 期号:2
英文摘要	Environmental water represents a key resource in managing freshwater ecosystems against pervasive threats. The impacts of climate change add further pressures to environmental water management, yet anticipating these impacts through modelling approaches remains challenging due to the complexities of the climate, hydrological and ecological systems. In this paper, we review the challenges posed by each of these three areas. Large uncertainties in predicting climatic changes and non-stationarities in hydrological and ecological responses make anticipating impacts difficult. In addition, a legacy of relying on modelling approaches informed by historic dependencies in environmental water science may confound the prediction of ecological responses when extrapolating under novel conditions. We also discuss applying ecohydrological methods to support decision-making and review applications of bottom-up climate impact assessments (specifically eco-engineering decision scaling) to freshwater ecosystems. These approaches offer a promising way of incorporating climatic uncertainty and balancing competing environmental objectives, but some practical challenges remain in their adoption for modelling environmental water outcomes under climate change. © 2020 The Authors.
英文关键词	Climate change; Ecohydrology; Ecological modelling; Environmental water; Freshwater ecosystems
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Balancing; Decision making; Ecosystems; Uncertainty analysis; Water; Water management; Climate impact assessment; Climatic changes; Ecological response; Ecological systems; Environmental objectives; Environmental water; Freshwater ecosystem; Non-stationarities; Climate change; climate change; ecohydrology; ecological modeling; freshwater ecosystem; uncertainty analysis; water management
来源期刊	Journal of Water and Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147939
作者单位	Water, Environment and Agriculture, Melbourne School of Engineering, University of Melbourne, Level 3 333 Exhibition Street, Melbourne, 3000, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	John A.,Nathan R.,Horne A.,et al. How to incorporate climate change into modelling environmental water outcomes: A review[J],2020,11(2).
APA	John A.,Nathan R.,Horne A.,Stewardson M.,&Angus Webb J..(2020).How to incorporate climate change into modelling environmental water outcomes: A review.Journal of Water and Climate Change,11(2).
MLA	John A.,et al."How to incorporate climate change into modelling environmental water outcomes: A review".Journal of Water and Climate Change 11.2(2020).