气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-018-2326-8
	An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests
	Phillips R.P.; Brandt L.; Polly P.D.; Zollner P.; Saunders M.R.; Clay K.; Iverson L.; Fei S.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
英文摘要	Forests provide myriad ecosystem services, many of which are vital to local and regional economies. Consequently, there is a need to better understand how predicted changes in climate will impact forest dynamics and the implications of such changes for society as a whole. Here we focus on the impacts of climate change on Indiana forests, which are representative of many secondary growth broadleaved forests in the greater Midwest region in terms of their land use history and current composition. We found that predicted changes in climate for the state—warmer and wetter winters/springs and hotter and potentially drier summers—will dramatically shape forest communities, resulting in new assemblages of trees and wildlife that differ from forest communities of the past or present. Overall, suitable habitat is expected to decline for 17–29% of tree species and increase for 43–52% of tree species in the state, depending on the region and climate scenario. Such changes have important consequences for wildlife that depend on certain tree species or have ranges with strong sensitivities to climate. Additionally, these changes will have potential economic impacts on Indiana industries that depend on forest resources and products (both timber and non-timber). Finally, we offer some practical suggestions on how management may minimize the extent of climate-induced ecological impacts and highlight a case study from a tree planting initiative currently underway in the Patoka River National Wildlife Refuge and Management Area. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Animals; Economics; Ecosystems; Land use; Reforestation; Timber; Broad-leaved forests; Climate scenarios; Ecological impacts; Ecosystem services; Forest community; Forest resources; Integrated assessment; Potential impacts; Climate change
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147579
作者单位	Department of Biology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405, United States; Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, Northern Research Station, US Forest Service, St. Paul, MN 55108, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405, United States; Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, United States; Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, Northern Research Station, US Forest Service, Delaware, OH 43015, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Phillips R.P.,Brandt L.,Polly P.D.,et al. An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests[J],2019.
APA	Phillips R.P..,Brandt L..,Polly P.D..,Zollner P..,Saunders M.R..,...&Fei S..(2019).An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests.Climatic Change.
MLA	Phillips R.P.,et al."An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests".Climatic Change (2019).