气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02374-0
	Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change
	Prislan P.; Gričar J.; Čufar K.; de Luis M.; Merela M.; Rossi S.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	181
结束页码	197
卷号	153 期号:2020-01-02
英文摘要	Climate scenarios for Slovenia suggest an increase in the mean annual temperature by 2 °C over the next six decades, associated with changes in the seasonal distribution of precipitation. European beech is an ecologically and economically important forest species in Europe, so it is important to understand the influence of changing conditions on its phenology and productivity for the upcoming years. We hypothesise that the ongoing warming and reduction in precipitation during the growing season will shorten the period of xylem development, thus limiting beech growth in the next decades. Xylem formation was monitored weekly from 2008 to 2016 at two sites in Slovenia. Onset and cessation of cell enlargement and secondary wall formation, as well as xylem growth, are used to evaluate climate-growth relationships by means of partial least squares regression and to predict xylem formation phenology and annual xylem increments under climate change scenarios. A positive correlation of spring phenological phases with March–May temperatures is found. In contrast, autumn phenological phases show a negative correlation with August and September temperatures, while high temperatures at the beginning of the year delay growth cessation. According to the selected climate change scenarios, phenological phases may advance by 2 days decade-1 in spring and delay by 1.5 days decade-1 in autumn. The duration of the growing season may increase by 20 days over the next six decades, resulting in 38 to 83% wider xylem increments. The growth of beech is expected to increase under a warming climate in the sites characterised by abundant water availability. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Biology; Least squares approximations; Climate change scenarios; Climate scenarios; Mean annual temperatures; Negative correlation; Partial least squares regression; Positive correlations; Seasonal distributions; Water availability; Climate change; climate change; deciduous tree; growing season; growth; phenology; precipitation (climatology); temperature effect; Slovenia; Fagus; Fagus sylvatica
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147527
作者单位	Slovenian Forestry Institute, Večna pot 2, Ljubljana, 1000, Slovenia; Biotechnical Faculty, Department of Wood Science and Technology, University of Ljubljana, Jamnikarjeva 101, Ljubljana, 1000, Slovenia; Department of Geography and Regional Planning, University of Zaragoza, C/Pedro Cerbuna 12, Zaragoza, 50009, Spain; Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, 555, boulevard de l’Université, Chicoutimi, QC G7H2B1, Canada; Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Prislan P.,Gričar J.,Čufar K.,et al. Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change[J],2019,153(2020-01-02).
APA	Prislan P.,Gričar J.,Čufar K.,de Luis M.,Merela M.,&Rossi S..(2019).Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change.Climatic Change,153(2020-01-02).
MLA	Prislan P.,et al."Growing season and radial growth predicted for Fagus sylvatica under climate change".Climatic Change 153.2020-01-02(2019).