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DOI10.1007/s10584-018-2351-7
Climate and water balance change among public; private; and tribal lands within Greater Wild land Ecosystems across North Central USA
Adhikari A.; Hansen A.J.
发表日期2019
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码551
结束页码567
卷号152期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要The remaining wildlands in the North Central US include varying proportions of public, private, and tribal lands across water balance ecotones. These wildlands may be highly vulnerable changing climate impacting their ability to sustain biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. We quantified projected changes in growing season climate (temperature) and water balance (MI: moisture index) in Greater Wildland Ecosystems (GWEs) and land allocation types (public, private, and tribal lands) across Central Plains, Western Plains, and Western Mountains ecoregions of North Central US by using high-resolution climate data from GCM output of 1980–2005 to 2071–2099. We also tested for the evidence of systematic climatic bias on tribal lands, which are often claimed to be distributed non-randomly. We found that the historic temperature was lower for Western Mountains compared to Western and Central Plains’ GWEs. The climate model projected drier and warmer GWEs with a narrow difference in increased temperature (4.6 to 5.5 °C). The MI was projected to have the greatest decrease in Central Plains (− 28%) and the least in Western Plains (− -17%) GWEs. Our findings revealed that the GWEs and land allocation types are increasingly vulnerable to changing climate. We conclude that the distribution of tribal and public lands is not climatically biased in the historic period and the projected rates of change in climate are similar among land allocation types within each GWE. All GWEs, however, are projected to warm and undergo increasing aridity, which may challenge management to sustain ecological health and human wellbeing across all land allocation types. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词Growing season; Land allocation types; Moisture index; Tribal lands; Water balance
语种英语
scopus关键词Biodiversity; Climate models; Ecosystems; Landforms; Moisture; Ecological health; Ecosystem functioning; Growing season; Increased temperature; Increasing aridities; Land allocation; Moisture index; Water balance; Climate change; climate change; ecoregion; growing season; landownership; mountain environment; resource allocation; temperature effect; water budget; water use efficiency; wilderness area; United States
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147507
作者单位Department of Ecology, Montana State University, 310 Lewis Hall, Bozeman, MT 59717, United States; Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, 008C Agricultural Hall, Stillwater, OK 74078, United States
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Adhikari A.,Hansen A.J.. Climate and water balance change among public; private; and tribal lands within Greater Wild land Ecosystems across North Central USA[J],2019,152(2020-03-04).
APA Adhikari A.,&Hansen A.J..(2019).Climate and water balance change among public; private; and tribal lands within Greater Wild land Ecosystems across North Central USA.Climatic Change,152(2020-03-04).
MLA Adhikari A.,et al."Climate and water balance change among public; private; and tribal lands within Greater Wild land Ecosystems across North Central USA".Climatic Change 152.2020-03-04(2019).
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