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DOI10.1007/s10584-019-02367-z
A three-tier risk assessment process for climate change adaptation at a local scale
Tonmoy F.N.; Rissik D.; Palutikof J.P.
发表日期2019
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码539
结束页码557
卷号153期号:4
英文摘要Formal structures for evaluating climate change risk are important components of adaptation decision-making. In this paper, we present an accessible, cost-effective and user-tested climate change risk assessment framework which allows organisations to systematically apply a risk management process aligned with international standards to identify and manage their climate change risks. It is delivered through ‘CoastAdapt’, a resource supporting climate change adaptation in Australia. This three-tier framework offers four benefits to the adaptation process. First, it allows organisations to identify climate change risks and integrate them with their mainstream risk management process. Second, it makes optimal use of an organisation’s limited adaptation resources by taking a tiered approach, so allowing an organisation to start from a low knowledge base using minimal resources and, only if required, then move to more complex and resource-intensive risk assessment processes. Third, it introduces a time-dependent vulnerability rating which recognises the particular characteristics of climate change risks—that they are long term and associated with a considerable degree of uncertainty. Finally, it takes into account business inter-dependencies that can exacerbate impacts but be overlooked in a sector-based impacts evaluation. In this paper, we highlight the appropriate context in which to use each risk assessment tier, explore key technical differences among the three tiers, describe performance testing and present one case study of application. We discuss the benefits of this tiered risk assessment approach in the context of broader adaptation planning. © 2019, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词Cost effectiveness; Decision making; Knowledge based systems; Risk assessment; Risk management; Adaptation decisions; Climate change adaptation; Climate change risks; Degree of uncertainty; International standards; Risk management process; Tiered risk assessment; Vulnerability ratings; Climate change; adaptive management; climate change; decision making; resource management; risk assessment; scale effect; vulnerability; Australia
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147482
作者单位National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Griffith University, Gold Coast, QLD 4222, Australia; School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Gold Coast, QLD 4222, Australia; School of Civil Engineering, University of Sydney, NSW, 2008, Australia; BMT Eastern Australia, 200 Creek Street, Brisbane, QLD 4000, Australia
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Tonmoy F.N.,Rissik D.,Palutikof J.P.. A three-tier risk assessment process for climate change adaptation at a local scale[J],2019,153(4).
APA Tonmoy F.N.,Rissik D.,&Palutikof J.P..(2019).A three-tier risk assessment process for climate change adaptation at a local scale.Climatic Change,153(4).
MLA Tonmoy F.N.,et al."A three-tier risk assessment process for climate change adaptation at a local scale".Climatic Change 153.4(2019).
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