气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The causal effect of flood experience on climate engagement: evidence from search requests for green electricity

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02468-9
	The causal effect of flood experience on climate engagement: evidence from search requests for green electricity
	Osberghaus D.; Demski C.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	191
结束页码	207
卷号	156 期号:2020-01-02
英文摘要	It has been postulated that personal experience of climate change–related weather events may reduce the psychological distance to climate change and trigger engagement in climate protection measures. We use a novel longitudinal dataset on revealed household behaviour and insured damage data to re-examine this relationship, which has mostly been studied by cross-sectional and self-reported data. Using a difference-in-differences estimator, we assess the causal effect of experiencing financial damage from the 2013 floods in Germany on the interest for renewable energy tariffs in online power portals, which we take as a proxy for engagement in climate protection. The results broadly confirm the expected positive effect of flood experience on climate engagement, but there are important non-linear effects. Most notably, the effect drops to zero if damage is very high meaning the causal effect of flood experience on interest in green energy holds only for moderately affected regions. One explanation for this inverted U-shaped effect is that high flood damage may constrain the available budget for costly climate protection, due to high recovery and reconstruction costs. We also suggest a number of psychological mechanisms that may play a role in explaining this non-linear effect, for example non-protective responses such as denial and fatalism if damage is high. When supporting private climate engagement, policymakers should not rely on a motivating effect of damage experience, but should acknowledge the economic and psychological limitations, especially of severely flood-affected households. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Budget control; Energy policy; Floods; Climate protection; Difference-in-differences; Green electricity; Nonlinear effect; Personal experience; Psychological distance; Renewable energies; Weather events; Climate change; alternative energy; climate change; cost analysis; electricity generation; flood damage; psychology; reconstruction
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147418
作者单位	ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, L7, 1, Mannheim, 68161, Germany; Understanding Risk Group, School of Psychology, Cardiff University, 70 Park Place, Cardiff, CF10 3AT, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Osberghaus D.,Demski C.. The causal effect of flood experience on climate engagement: evidence from search requests for green electricity[J],2019,156(2020-01-02).
APA	Osberghaus D.,&Demski C..(2019).The causal effect of flood experience on climate engagement: evidence from search requests for green electricity.Climatic Change,156(2020-01-02).
MLA	Osberghaus D.,et al."The causal effect of flood experience on climate engagement: evidence from search requests for green electricity".Climatic Change 156.2020-01-02(2019).