气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02493-8
	Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed
	Choe H.; Thorne J.H.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	51
结束页码	67
卷号	156 期号:2020-01-02
英文摘要	The impacts of climate change traverse administrative borders, which calls for new strategies for forest ecosystem conservation and adaptive management. Despite relatively high biodiversity, the temperate forests in East Asia have lacked a comprehensive regional evaluation of potential climate change impacts. Here, we assess the level of climate change exposure of the Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests Biome of East Asia by 2070. These temperate forests occupy 18 ecoregions, five countries, and 102 provinces. We categorize climate change exposure by classifying baseline (1960–1990) climate conditions for the current geographic distribution of five temperate forest types within each ecoregion and within the biome. We then measure the level of change under four future climates: a warmer or a hotter future climate and under reduced emissions (RCP4.5) or with emissions continuing unabated (RCP8.5). By 2070, using the RCP8.5 emission scenario, 24.5–65.7% of these forests enter non-analog or the most marginal 1% of baseline climate conditions. These results reveal the need for extensive transboundary governmental coordination, including forest preservation actions among 51 of 54 provinces that will retain some forest locations in climatically stable or low-risk conditions. Furthermore, among 96 provinces with forests that will be highly exposed, 90 will require transboundary climate change adaptation strategies because these forests span their borders, including the border areas of China, the Russian Federation, and North Korea. The analytical approach of this study could serve as a template for supporting transboundary institutional coordination to address climate change. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Biodiversity; Ecosystems; Forestry; Geographical distribution; Adaptation strategies; Adaptive Management; Analytical approach; Climate change adaptation; Climate change impact; Emission scenario; Forest preservation; Russian federation; Climate change; adaptive management; baseline conditions; climate change; climate effect; conservation management; ecoregion; forest ecosystem; state role; temperate forest; transboundary cooperation; China; North Korea; Russian Federation
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147415
作者单位	Department of Ecological Landscape Architecture Design, Kangwon National University, Chuncheon, Gangwon-do 24341, South Korea; Department of Environmental Science and Policy, UC Davis, Davis, CA 95616, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Choe H.,Thorne J.H.. Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed[J],2019,156(2020-01-02).
APA	Choe H.,&Thorne J.H..(2019).Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed.Climatic Change,156(2020-01-02).
MLA	Choe H.,et al."Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed".Climatic Change 156.2020-01-02(2019).