气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02476-9
	Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa
	Radeny M.; Desalegn A.; Mubiru D.; Kyazze F.; Mahoo H.; Recha J.; Kimeli P.; Solomon D.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	509
结束页码	526
卷号	156 期号:4
英文摘要	Climate information and agro-advisory services are crucial in helping smallholder farmers and pastoralists in East Africa manage climate-related risks and adapt to climate change. However, significant gaps exist in provision of climate information that effectively addresses the needs of farmers and pastoralists. Most farmers and pastoralists, therefore, rely on indigenous knowledge (IK), where local indicators and experiences are used to observe and forecast weather conditions. While IK-based forecasting is inbuilt and established in many communities in East Africa, coordinated research and systematic documentation of IK for weather forecasting, including accuracy and reliability of IK is largely lacking. This paper documents and synthesizes existing IK for weather forecasting in East Africa using case studies from Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Uganda. The results show that farmers and pastoralists use a combination of meteorological, biological, and astrological indicators to forecast local weather conditions. IK weather forecasting is, therefore, crucial in supporting efforts to improve access to climate information in East Africa, especially in resource-poor and vulnerable communities. The paper draws valuable lessons on how farmers and pastoralists in East Africa use IK weather forecasts for making crop and livestock production decisions and demonstrates that the trust and willingness to apply scientific forecasts by farmers and pastoralists is likely to increase when integrated with IK. Therefore, a systematic documentation of IK, and a framework for integrating IK and scientific weather forecasting from national meteorological agencies can improve accuracy, uptake, and use of weather forecasts. © 2019, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agriculture; Climate change; Climate forecasting; Climate related risks; Indigenous knowledge; Livestock production; Local weather conditions; Meteorological agency; Smallholder farmers; Vulnerable communities; Weather forecasting; accuracy assessment; adaptive management; climate change; climate conditions; climate effect; indigenous knowledge; livestock farming; smallholder; vulnerability; weather forecasting; East Africa
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147399
作者单位	CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Program, International Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya; Center for Food Security Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Soils, Environment and Agro-Meteorology Unit, National Agricultural Research Laboratories, Kawanda, Uganda; College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda; Department of Agricultural Engineering and Land Planning, Sokoine University of Agriculture, Morogoro, Tanzania; Rift Valley Water Works Development Agency, Nakuru, Kenya; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Program, International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Radeny M.,Desalegn A.,Mubiru D.,et al. Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa[J],2019,156(4).
APA	Radeny M..,Desalegn A..,Mubiru D..,Kyazze F..,Mahoo H..,...&Solomon D..(2019).Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa.Climatic Change,156(4).
MLA	Radeny M.,et al."Indigenous knowledge for seasonal weather and climate forecasting across East Africa".Climatic Change 156.4(2019).