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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02810-6
Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean
Spencer N.; Strobl E.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
英文摘要We examine whether Caribbean islands will be worse off as hurricane activity alters under climate change. To this end, we construct island level damages for synthetic storm tracks generated from four climate models under current and future climate settings. Using a flexible stochastic dominance preference ordering framework, we find that the fat-tailed and uncertain nature of the distribution of storms makes it difficult to conclude that the region will be worse off under climate change, and is likely to depend on the degree of adaptation. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词Climate change; Hurricanes; Social welfare; Stochastic dominance
语种英语
scopus关键词Climate models; Hurricanes; Stochastic systems; Storms; Future climate; Hurricane activity; Preference order; Social welfare; Stochastic Dominance; Storm track; Climate change
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147313
作者单位University of the West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica; University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Spencer N.,Strobl E.. Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean[J],2020.
APA Spencer N.,&Strobl E..(2020).Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean.Climatic Change.
MLA Spencer N.,et al."Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean".Climatic Change (2020).
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