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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-020-02810-6 |
Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean | |
Spencer N.; Strobl E. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
英文摘要 | We examine whether Caribbean islands will be worse off as hurricane activity alters under climate change. To this end, we construct island level damages for synthetic storm tracks generated from four climate models under current and future climate settings. Using a flexible stochastic dominance preference ordering framework, we find that the fat-tailed and uncertain nature of the distribution of storms makes it difficult to conclude that the region will be worse off under climate change, and is likely to depend on the degree of adaptation. © 2020, The Author(s). |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Hurricanes; Social welfare; Stochastic dominance |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate models; Hurricanes; Stochastic systems; Storms; Future climate; Hurricane activity; Preference order; Social welfare; Stochastic Dominance; Storm track; Climate change |
来源期刊 | Climatic Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147313 |
作者单位 | University of the West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica; University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Spencer N.,Strobl E.. Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean[J],2020. |
APA | Spencer N.,&Strobl E..(2020).Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean.Climatic Change. |
MLA | Spencer N.,et al."Hurricanes; climate change; and social welfare: evidence from the Caribbean".Climatic Change (2020). |
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