气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections?

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02830-2
	Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections?
	Eschliman C.M.; Kuster E.; Ripberger J.; Wootten A.M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
英文摘要	In this study, we compare expressed public expectations of future climate with climate projections. Along with identifying general trends, we examine how demographic and ideological factors, as well as past weather experience, may affect these expectations individuals express. Through our analysis of a state-wide survey of Oklahomans in 2019, we find that Oklahomans, on average, expect a cooler, wetter future than most climate projections suggest. One’s future temperature expectations were significantly related to gender, age, political affiliation, and perceptions about recent temperatures. In particular, females, Democrats, Millennials, and those who thought the past 3 years were hotter than average were more likely to expect warmer futures. Meanwhile, precipitation expectations were significantly related to one’s recent drought and extreme rainfall experience, age, and race. Our results also suggest that expressed expectations of future temperatures are more likely to be influenced by ideological and demographic variables than expectations of future precipitation. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Climate adaptation; Climate change; Climate communication; Climate projections; Public opinion
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Population statistics; Climate projection; Demographic variables; Extreme rainfall; Future climate; General trends; Millennials; Precipitation (meteorology)
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147311
作者单位	National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, Norman, OK, United States; Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States; South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Norman, OK, United States; University of Oklahoma National Institute for Risk and Resilience, Norman, OK, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Eschliman C.M.,Kuster E.,Ripberger J.,et al. Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections?[J],2020.
APA	Eschliman C.M.,Kuster E.,Ripberger J.,&Wootten A.M..(2020).Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections?.Climatic Change.
MLA	Eschliman C.M.,et al."Preparing to adapt: are public expectations in line with climate projections?".Climatic Change (2020).