气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Fossil fuel–fired power plant operations under a changing climate

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02834-y
	Fossil fuel–fired power plant operations under a changing climate
	Loew A.; Jaramillo P.; Zhai H.; Ali R.; Nijssen B.; Cheng Y.; Klima K.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
英文摘要	Climate change introduces an uncertain risk to power plant operations as ambient conditions potentially constrain generation through thermodynamic limitations. Previous studies aiming to quantify this risk have suggested a wide range of results, from minimal to disastrous capacity loss. In this analysis, we used a power plant modeling tool to study how a variety of power plant configurations respond to varying meteorological conditions. We developed tools that enable the analysis of the climate impacts on power plant operations for a spectrum of geographic situations and technological configurations. We also used these tools to conduct a case study for US coal and natural gas power plants in 2050, under climate change scenario representative concentration pathway 4.5. Our study indicates that rising air temperatures are unlikely to seriously threaten capacity and efficiency at power plants at most locations, provided that wet recirculating and dry cooling systems are designed adequately. Our results allow for simpler modeling of power plant capacity deratings given ambient conditions, highlight potential regions of risk, and underscore the importance of incorporating climate factors into the electric power system’s design and planning. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Electricity generation; Meteorological shifts; Power plants
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Cooling systems; Electric power plants; Electric power systems; Fossil fuel power plants; Fossil fuels; Natural gasoline plants; Climate change scenarios; Design and planning; Dry cooling systems; Meteorological condition; Natural gas power plants; Power plant capacities; Power plant modeling; Power plant operations; Climate change
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147299
作者单位	Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Department of Civil & Architectural Engineering, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States; RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Loew A.,Jaramillo P.,Zhai H.,等. Fossil fuel–fired power plant operations under a changing climate[J],2020.
APA	Loew A..,Jaramillo P..,Zhai H..,Ali R..,Nijssen B..,...&Klima K..(2020).Fossil fuel–fired power plant operations under a changing climate.Climatic Change.
MLA	Loew A.,et al."Fossil fuel–fired power plant operations under a changing climate".Climatic Change (2020).