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DOI10.1007/s10584-019-02556-w
Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters
Tschumi E.; Zscheischler J.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码593
结束页码609
卷号158期号:2020-03-04
英文摘要Climate-related disasters cause substantial disruptions to human societies. With climate change, many extreme weather and climate events are expected to become more severe and more frequent. The International Disaster Database (EM-DAT) records climate-related disasters associated with observed impacts such as affected people and economic damage on a country basis. Although disasters are classified into different meteorological categories, they are usually not linked to observed climate anomalies. Here, we investigate countrywide climate features associated with disasters that have occurred between 1950 and 2015 and have been classified as droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold waves using superposed epoch analysis. We find that disasters classified as heat waves are associated with significant countrywide increases in annual mean temperature of on average 0.13 ∘C and a significant decrease in annual precipitation of 3.2%. Drought disasters show positive temperature anomalies of 0.08 ∘C and a 4.8 % precipitation decrease. Disasters classified as droughts and heat waves are thus associated with significant annual countrywide anomalies in both temperature and precipitation. During years of flood disasters, precipitation is increased by 2.8 %. Cold wave disasters show no significant signal for either temperature or precipitation. We further find that climate anomalies tend to be larger in smaller countries, an expected behavior when computing countrywide averages. In addition, our results suggest that extreme weather disasters in developed countries are typically associated with larger climate anomalies compared to developing countries. This effect could be due to different levels of vulnerability, as a climate anomaly needs to be larger in a developed country to cause a societal disruption. Our analysis provides a first link between recorded climate-related disasters and observed climate data, which is an important step towards linking climate and impact communities and ultimately better constraining future disaster risk. © 2019, The Author(s).
英文关键词Climate extreme; Cold wave; Disaster; Drought; Flood; Heat wave
语种英语
scopus关键词Developing countries; Disasters; Drought; Floods; Risk assessment; Annual mean temperatures; Annual precipitation; Climate extremes; Cold waves; Developed countries; Heat waves; Superposed-epoch analysis; Temperature anomaly; Climate change; anomaly; cold front; disaster management; drought stress; extreme event; flooding; heat wave
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147246
作者单位Climate and Environmental Physics and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Tschumi E.,Zscheischler J.. Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters[J],2020,158(2020-03-04).
APA Tschumi E.,&Zscheischler J..(2020).Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters.Climatic Change,158(2020-03-04).
MLA Tschumi E.,et al."Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters".Climatic Change 158.2020-03-04(2020).
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