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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02586-4 |
Soil freeze depth variability across Eurasia during 1850–2100 | |
Peng X.; Zhang T.; Frauenfeld O.W.; Du R.; Wei Q.; Liang B. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
起始页码 | 531 |
结束页码 | 549 |
卷号 | 158期号:2020-03-04 |
英文摘要 | Soil freeze depth (SFD) is an important indicator of cryospheric and climate change. Changes in SFD have important effects on hydrology, the energy balance, carbon exchange, and ecosystem diversity. However, quantifying and predicting SFD at large scales remains a challenge due to sparse long-term observations. This study employs the Stefan solution combined with 16 of the coupled model inter-comparison project phase 5 (CMIP5) models over the historical period (1850–2005) and three representative concentration pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) for 2006–2100, the Climatic Research Unit dataset (1901–2013), and hundreds of soil temperature, air temperature, precipitation, and snow depth sites to analyze the spatiotemporal variability of SFD in Eurasia under historical and projected climate change. During 1850–2005, a statistically significant SFD decrease of 0.49 ± 0.04 cm/decade is observed. Spatially, the biggest decreases are generally in Siberia and on the Tibetan Plateau. There is a projected decrease in 2006–2100 SFD of 4.58 ± 0.26, 1.85 ± 0.21, and 0.45 ± 0.18 cm/decade for RCP 8.5, 4.5, 2.6, respectively. These variations in SFD provide key insights into spatiotemporal changes in climate, and facilitate improved understanding of variation in frozen ground across Eurasia. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; CMIP5; Eurasia; Soil freeze depth |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Climate models; Soil mechanics; Soils; Climatic research; CMIP5; Ecosystem diversity; Eurasia; Historical periods; Long term observations; Spatio-temporal changes; Spatiotemporal variability; Climate change; climate change; climate modeling; CMIP; cryosphere; data set; freezing; frozen ground; long-term change; soil analysis; China; Qinghai-Xizang Plateau; Siberia |
来源期刊 | Climatic Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147240 |
作者单位 | Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems(Ministry of Education), College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China; Department of Geography, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3147, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Peng X.,Zhang T.,Frauenfeld O.W.,等. Soil freeze depth variability across Eurasia during 1850–2100[J],2020,158(2020-03-04). |
APA | Peng X.,Zhang T.,Frauenfeld O.W.,Du R.,Wei Q.,&Liang B..(2020).Soil freeze depth variability across Eurasia during 1850–2100.Climatic Change,158(2020-03-04). |
MLA | Peng X.,et al."Soil freeze depth variability across Eurasia during 1850–2100".Climatic Change 158.2020-03-04(2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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