气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-019-02640-1
	Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
	Zhu S.; Ge F.; Fan Y.; Zhang L.; Sielmann F.; Fraedrich K.; Zhi X.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	343
结束页码	360
卷号	160 期号:3
英文摘要	Guided by the Paris Agreement, the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C reported potential risks of climate change at different global warming levels (GWLs). To provide fundamental information on future temperature extremes over Southeast Asia (SEA), projected changes in temperature extreme indices are evaluated for different seasons at 1.5 °C and 2 °C GWLs against the historical reference period of 1976–2005 based on the ensemble of CORDEX simulations. Results show that the temperature indices increase significantly across the Indochina Peninsula and Maritime Continent at both GWLs except for decreasing daily temperature range (DTR) in the dry season, with more pronounced magnitudes at 2 °C GWL. Moreover, the regionally averaged ensemble medians of the indices show various changes over different subregions. At 1.5 °C and 2 °C GWLs, most pronounced increases of threshold indices. i.e. summer days (SU) and tropical nights (TR), are projected in Sumatra and Sulawesi for both wet and dry seasons. The warm spell duration (WSDI) increases generally, with strongest magnitudes for Sumatra and Sulawesi (Philippines and Sulawesi) in the wet (dry) season. On the other hand, significant increases of warm days and nights can also be observed at 2 °C GWL compared to 1.5 °C, particularly in the dry season, suggesting the high sensitivity of temperature extremes over the SEA. The projected potentially conspicuous temperature extremes under global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C primarily concentrate on the densely populated coastal regions of the main islands, showing the necessity of restricting global warming to 1.5 °C aiming at the eradication and reduction of regional climate stress for the human system in the developing countries over the SEA. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Extreme temperature; Paris Agreement; Seasonal variation; Southeast Asia
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Developing countries; Drought; Daily temperature ranges; Extreme temperatures; Indochina Peninsula; Maritime Continent; Seasonal variation; Southeast Asia; Temperature extremes; Wet and dry seasons; Global warming; dry season; environmental risk; extreme event; global warming; high temperature; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; international agreement; seasonal variation; temperature effect; Asia; Greater Sunda Islands; Indochina; Philippines; Sulawesi; Sumatra; Sunda Isles
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147165
作者单位	Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME) / Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; School of Atmospheric Sciences / Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province/Joint Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China; Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany; Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Meteorological Institute, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhu S.,Ge F.,Fan Y.,et al. Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming[J],2020,160(3).
APA	Zhu S..,Ge F..,Fan Y..,Zhang L..,Sielmann F..,...&Zhi X..(2020).Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming.Climatic Change,160(3).
MLA	Zhu S.,et al."Conspicuous temperature extremes over Southeast Asia: seasonal variations under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming".Climatic Change 160.3(2020).