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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02663-z
Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone
Piccolroaz S.; Woolway R.I.; Merchant C.J.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码427
结束页码442
卷号160期号:3
英文摘要Lake surface water temperatures (LSWTs) are sensitive to climate change, but previous studies have typically focused on temperatures from only the last few decades. Thus, while there is good appreciation of LSWT warming in recent decades, our understanding of longer-term temperature change is comparatively limited. In this study, we use a mechanistically based open-source model (air2water), driven by air temperature from a state-of-the-art global atmospheric reanalysis (ERA-20C) and calibrated with satellite-derived LSWT observations (ARC-Lake v3), to investigate the long-term change in LSWT worldwide. The predictive ability of the model is tested across 606 lakes, with 91% of the lakes showing a daily root mean square error smaller than 1.5 °C. Model performance was better at mid-latitudes and decreased towards the equator. The results illustrated highly variable mean annual LSWT trends during the twentieth century and across climatic regions. Substantial warming is evident after ~ 1980 and the most responsive lakes to climate change are located in the temperate regions. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词Air2water; Climate change; Limnology; Modelling; Reanalysis; Remote sensing
语种英语
scopus关键词Atmospheric temperature; C (programming language); Lakes; Limnology; Mean square error; Models; Remote sensing; Air2water; Atmospheric reanalysis; Predictive abilities; Reanalysis; Root mean square errors; Surface water temperature; Temperate regions; Temperature changes; Climate change
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147164
作者单位Independent Researcher, Trento, Italy; Free University of Bolzano, Bolzano, Italy; Dundalk Institute of Technology, Dundalk, Ireland; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; National Centre for Earth Observation, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
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Piccolroaz S.,Woolway R.I.,Merchant C.J.. Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone[J],2020,160(3).
APA Piccolroaz S.,Woolway R.I.,&Merchant C.J..(2020).Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone.Climatic Change,160(3).
MLA Piccolroaz S.,et al."Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone".Climatic Change 160.3(2020).
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