气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02659-9
	Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change
	Taylor R.; Butterfield R.; Capela Lourenço T.; Dzebo A.; Carlsen H.; Klein R.J.T.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	65
结束页码	87
卷号	161 期号:1
英文摘要	We surveyed members of the adaptation community about their views on high-end climate change—here defined as global average temperature increase exceeding 2 °C at the end of the century—at consecutive conferences in 2016 and 2018. Most strikingly our surveys show that a majority of the community disagrees that the Paris Agreement has reduced the possibility of the world reaching dangerous levels of climate change. Consistent with this, around two thirds of people consulted are considering high-end climate change or using high-end scenarios in their work all the time, or starting to. However, this is still not done by all. Preparedness for the specific threats posed by high-end impacts is not keeping pace, and more work needs to be done to strengthen the research basis and understand adaptation needs under high-end climate change. Moreover, views on finding information on impacts and tools for decision-making have not changed between 2016 and 2018, showing that there is no improvement. This situation underlines that the adaptation community needs to do better in supporting exchange of information and data between all actors—in addition to finding and filling knowledge gaps. Despite this, there is widespread support for avoiding delaying large-scale adaptation until we have more certainty. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词	Adaptation decision-making; High-end climate change; High-end scenarios; Paris Agreement; Survey
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Behavioral research; Decision making; Knowledge management; Surveys; Adaptation needs; Exchange of information; Knowledge gaps; Scale adaptations; Temperature increase; Climate change; adaptive management; climate change; decision making; international agreement; knowledge; perception; scenario analysis; temperature profile
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147142
作者单位	Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), 29 Grove Street, Oxford, OX2 7JT, United Kingdom; Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, 1749-016, Portugal; Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), P.O. Box 24218, Stockholm, SE-104 51, Sweden; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Princetonlaan 8a, Utrecht, 3584 CB, Netherlands; Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), P.O. Box 200818, Bonn, 53138, Germany; Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, Linköping University, Linköping, 581 83, Sweden
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Taylor R.,Butterfield R.,Capela Lourenço T.,et al. Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change[J],2020,161(1).
APA	Taylor R.,Butterfield R.,Capela Lourenço T.,Dzebo A.,Carlsen H.,&Klein R.J.T..(2020).Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change.Climatic Change,161(1).
MLA	Taylor R.,et al."Surveying perceptions and practices of high-end climate change".Climatic Change 161.1(2020).