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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02729-y
Climate change attribution and the economic costs of extreme weather events: a study on damages from extreme rainfall and drought
Frame D.J.; Rosier S.M.; Noy I.; Harrington L.J.; Carey-Smith T.; Sparrow S.N.; Stone D.A.; Dean S.M.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码781
结束页码797
卷号162期号:2
英文摘要An important and under-quantified facet of the risks associated with human-induced climate change emerges through extreme weather. In this paper, we present an initial attempt to quantify recent costs related to extreme weather due to human interference in the climate system, focusing on economic costs arising from droughts and floods in New Zealand during the decade 2007–2017. We calculate these using previously collected information about the damages and losses associated with past floods and droughts, and estimates of the “fraction of attributable risk” that characterizes each event. The estimates we obtain are not comprehensive, and almost certainly represent an underestimate of the full economic costs of climate change, notably chronic costs associated with long-term trends. However, the paper shows the potential for developing a new stream of information that is relevant to a range of stakeholders and research communities, especially those with an interest in the aggregation of the costs of climate change or the identification of specific costs associated with potential liability. © 2020, The Author(s).
英文关键词Climate change; Climate change adaptation; Climate change economics; Disaster economics; Probabilistic event attribution
语种英语
scopus关键词Cost benefit analysis; Costs; Drought; Extreme weather; Flood control; Floods; Attributable risks; Economic costs; Extreme rainfall; Extreme weather events; Human interference; Long-term trend; Potential liability; Research communities; Climate change; climate change; drought; extreme event; flood; long-term change; rainfall; stakeholder; weather; New Zealand
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147109
作者单位New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, 6012, New Zealand; National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand; School of Economics and Finance, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, 6012, New Zealand; ECI, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; Oxford e-Research Centre, 7 Keble Road, Oxford, OX1 3QG, United Kingdom
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Frame D.J.,Rosier S.M.,Noy I.,et al. Climate change attribution and the economic costs of extreme weather events: a study on damages from extreme rainfall and drought[J],2020,162(2).
APA Frame D.J..,Rosier S.M..,Noy I..,Harrington L.J..,Carey-Smith T..,...&Dean S.M..(2020).Climate change attribution and the economic costs of extreme weather events: a study on damages from extreme rainfall and drought.Climatic Change,162(2).
MLA Frame D.J.,et al."Climate change attribution and the economic costs of extreme weather events: a study on damages from extreme rainfall and drought".Climatic Change 162.2(2020).
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